Analysis · NYX Aether

GAMES LIVE

UP NEXT

FINAL TODAY

MODEL RECORD · 7 DAYS

44–36

55.0% hit rate · graded picks only

LIVE NOW0 GAMES

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UP NEXTUpcoming games — not started

6:40 PM ET

PITvsMIA

P. SkenesE. Pérez

NYX Lean MIA · 52%PREGAME

Miami Marlins holds a 23.4-pt model edge (Miami Marlins 68.6 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 45.2). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors MIA

Full data · 5/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting Pitcher50%50%

K-BB% 11.9% vs 22.9%xwOBA against .420 vs .279Form grade 53 vs 77

Bullpen54%46%

Pen ERA (3d) 3.00 vs 1.29Relief IP (3d) 9 vs 7High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense44%56%

OPS (7d) .678 vs .712ISO (7d) .138 vs .102Form grade 31 vs 45

Run Prevention43%57%

Engine grade 50 vs 65

Context & Health43%57%

Home-field grade 36 vs 48

PIT advantageMIA advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS MIA

Marlins prevents runs at a higher clip

NYX factor grade 65–50, favored side first.

RUN PREV

Marlins has been the hotter lineup

NYX factor grade 35–27, favored side first.

OFFENSE

Marlins holds the situational and health edge

NYX factor grade 48–36, favored side first.

CONTEXT

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

6:40 PM

Today

PIT Starter

P. Skenes

Confirmed

MIA Starter

E. Pérez

Confirmed

Confidence

Limited

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

Starting lineups are not posted yet.
Starter command risk flagged in recent outings.
Walk rate rises in high-pressure spots.

View Analysis →

6:40 PM ET

CLEvsDET

T. BibeeD. Anderson

NYX Lean DET · 60%PREGAME

Detroit Tigers holds a 20.1-pt model edge (Detroit Tigers 66.5 vs Cleveland Guardians 46.5). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors DET

Full data · 5/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting Pitcher45%55%

K-BB% 24.5% vs 13.3%xwOBA against .264 vs .280Form grade 72 vs 72

Bullpen42%58%

Pen ERA (3d) 7.72 vs 0.00Relief IP (3d) 9.1 vs 10High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense36%64%

OPS (7d) .695 vs .763ISO (7d) .093 vs .128Form grade 38 vs 65

Run Prevention41%59%

Engine grade 61 vs 89

Context & Health44%56%

Home-field grade 54 vs 68

CLE advantageDET advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS DET

Tigers has the deeper, fresher bullpen

NYX factor grade 85–61, favored side first.

BULLPEN

Tigers has been the hotter lineup

NYX factor grade 56–32, favored side first.

OFFENSE

Tigers prevents runs at a higher clip

NYX factor grade 89–61, favored side first.

RUN PREV

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

6:40 PM

Today

CLE Starter

T. Bibee

Confirmed

DET Starter

D. Anderson

Confirmed

Confidence

Moderate

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

Starting lineups are not posted yet.
Limited recent sample behind the starter grades.
Recent velocity drop flagged for a starter.

View Analysis →

6:45 PM ET

CHCvsWSH

S. ImanagaJ. Irvin

NYX Lean CHC · 53%PREGAME

Chicago Cubs holds a 3.4-pt model edge (Washington Nationals 58.2 vs Chicago Cubs 61.5). Confidence 41% (low data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors CHC

Moderate data · 4/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting PitcherNot enough data

Bullpen54%46%

Pen ERA (3d) 4.50 vs 0.90Relief IP (3d) 8 vs 10High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense55%45%

OPS (7d) .806 vs .743ISO (7d) .181 vs .146Form grade 83 vs 57

Run Prevention68%32%

Engine grade 65 vs 31

Context & Health61%39%

Home-field grade 62 vs 40

CHC advantageWSH advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS CHC

Cubs prevents runs at a higher clip

NYX factor grade 65–31, favored side first.

RUN PREV

Cubs has the deeper, fresher bullpen

NYX factor grade 68–57, favored side first.

BULLPEN

Cubs has been the hotter lineup

NYX factor grade 64–52, favored side first.

OFFENSE

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

6:45 PM

Today

CHC Starter

S. Imanaga

Confirmed

WSH Starter

J. Irvin

Expected

Confidence

Limited

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

WSH starter is projected from the rotation, not announced.
Starting lineups are not posted yet.

View Analysis →

7:05 PM ET

SEAvsNYY

B. WooR. Weathers

NYX Lean NYY · 52%PREGAME

New York Yankees holds a 13.6-pt model edge (New York Yankees 58.0 vs Seattle Mariners 44.4). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors NYY

Full data · 5/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting Pitcher55%45%

K-BB% 20.8% vs 12.8%xwOBA against .268 vs .201Form grade 71 vs 63

Bullpen53%47%

Pen ERA (3d) 1.69 vs 3.60Relief IP (3d) 10.2 vs 5High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense44%56%

OPS (7d) .556 vs .646ISO (7d) .103 vs .161Form grade 0 vs 18

Run Prevention41%59%

Engine grade 57 vs 81

Context & Health44%56%

Home-field grade 55 vs 71

SEA advantageNYY advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS NYY

Yankees prevents runs at a higher clip

NYX factor grade 81–57, favored side first.

RUN PREV

Yankees has been the hotter lineup

NYX factor grade 51–40, favored side first.

OFFENSE

Yankees holds the situational and health edge

NYX factor grade 71–55, favored side first.

CONTEXT

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

7:05 PM

Today

SEA Starter

B. Woo

Confirmed

NYY Starter

R. Weathers

Confirmed

Confidence

Limited

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

Starting lineups are not posted yet.
Recent velocity drop flagged for a starter.

View Analysis →

7:07 PM ET

BOSvsTOR

P. SandovalD. Cease

NYX Lean TOR · 52%PREGAME

Boston Red Sox holds a 5.7-pt model edge (Toronto Blue Jays 55.5 vs Boston Red Sox 61.2). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors TOR

Full data · 5/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting Pitcher39%61%

K-BB% 15.2% vs 27.1%xwOBA against .377 vs .159Form grade 58 vs 79

Bullpen56%44%

Pen ERA (3d) 3.95 vs 2.20Relief IP (3d) 13.2 vs 16.1High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense68%32%

OPS (7d) .853 vs .638ISO (7d) .170 vs .128Form grade 100 vs 15

Run Prevention58%42%

Engine grade 78 vs 57

Context & Health52%48%

Home-field grade 66 vs 62

BOS advantageTOR advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS TOR

Blue Jays brings the stronger starting pitcher

NYX factor grade 97–63, favored side first.

PITCHING

Red Sox counters with the offense edge.

NYX factor grade 30–65, favored side first.

OFFENSE

Red Sox counters with the run prevention edge.

NYX factor grade 57–78, favored side first.

RUN PREV

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

7:07 PM

Today

BOS Starter

P. Sandoval

Confirmed

TOR Starter

D. Cease

Confirmed

Confidence

Limited

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

Starting lineups are not posted yet.
Starter command risk flagged in recent outings.
Walk rate rises in high-pressure spots.

View Analysis →

7:15 PM ET

NYMvsATL

N. McLeanM. Pérez

NYX Lean ATL · 52%PREGAME

Atlanta Braves holds a 7.0-pt model edge (Atlanta Braves 67.3 vs New York Mets 60.4). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors ATL

Full data · 5/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting Pitcher64%36%

K-BB% 17.3% vs 17.6%xwOBA against .384 vs .141Form grade 44 vs 80

Bullpen50%50%

Pen ERA (3d) 1.50 vs 3.60Relief IP (3d) 12 vs 10High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense50%50%

OPS (7d) .890 vs .729ISO (7d) .234 vs .182Form grade 100 vs 51

Run Prevention46%54%

Engine grade 60 vs 71

Context & Health45%55%

Home-field grade 55 vs 66

NYM advantageATL advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS ATL

Braves prevents runs at a higher clip

NYX factor grade 71–60, favored side first.

RUN PREV

Braves holds the situational and health edge

NYX factor grade 66–55, favored side first.

CONTEXT

Mets counters with the starting pitcher edge.

NYX factor grade 45–81, favored side first.

PITCHING

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

7:15 PM

Today

NYM Starter

N. McLean

Confirmed

ATL Starter

M. Pérez

Confirmed

Confidence

Limited

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

Starting lineups are not posted yet.
Limited recent sample behind the starter grades.
Bullpen has been prone to big innings.

View Analysis →

7:40 PM ET

BALvsMIN

B. YoungB. Ober

NYX Lean MIN · 52%PREGAME

Minnesota Twins holds a 9.7-pt model edge (Minnesota Twins 53.5 vs Baltimore Orioles 43.9). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors MIN

Full data · 5/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting Pitcher53%47%

K-BB% 11.4% vs 2.1%xwOBA against .364 vs .267Form grade 45 vs 56

Bullpen47%53%

Pen ERA (3d) 9.00 vs 4.82Relief IP (3d) 12 vs 9.1High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense63%37%

OPS (7d) .734 vs .707ISO (7d) .203 vs .143Form grade 54 vs 43

Run Prevention51%49%

Engine grade 66 vs 64

Context & Health48%52%

Home-field grade 54 vs 59

BAL advantageMIN advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS MIN

Twins has the deeper, fresher bullpen

NYX factor grade 79–71, favored side first.

BULLPEN

Twins holds the situational and health edge

NYX factor grade 59–54, favored side first.

CONTEXT

Orioles counters with the offense edge.

NYX factor grade 37–63, favored side first.

OFFENSE

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

7:40 PM

Today

BAL Starter

B. Young

Confirmed

MIN Starter

B. Ober

Confirmed

Confidence

Limited

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

Starting lineups are not posted yet.

View Analysis →

7:40 PM ET

CINvsCWS

N. LodoloS. Burke

NYX Lean CWS · 52%PREGAME

Chicago White Sox holds a 15.6-pt model edge (Chicago White Sox 53.2 vs Cincinnati Reds 37.7). Confidence 74% (medium data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors CWS

Full data · 5/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting Pitcher35%65%

K-BB% — vs 23.3%xwOBA against — vs .299Form grade 50 vs 66

Bullpen55%45%

Pen ERA (3d) 13.49 vs 1.64Relief IP (3d) 4.2 vs 11High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense57%43%

OPS (7d) .643 vs .684ISO (7d) .179 vs .133Form grade 17 vs 34

Run Prevention60%40%

Engine grade 58 vs 38

Context & Health55%45%

Home-field grade 48 vs 39

CIN advantageCWS advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS CWS

White Sox brings the stronger starting pitcher

NYX factor grade 77–42, favored side first.

PITCHING

Reds counters with the run prevention edge.

NYX factor grade 38–58, favored side first.

RUN PREV

Reds counters with the bullpen edge.

NYX factor grade 66–82, favored side first.

BULLPEN

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

7:40 PM

Today

CIN Starter

N. Lodolo

Confirmed

CWS Starter

S. Burke

Confirmed

Confidence

Limited

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

Starting lineups are not posted yet.
Limited recent sample behind the starter grades.

View Analysis →

7:45 PM ET

PHIvsSTL

C. SánchezA. Pallante

NYX Lean PHI · 52%PREGAME

St. Louis Cardinals holds a 5.8-pt model edge (St. Louis Cardinals 52.9 vs Philadelphia Phillies 47.2). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

ANALYSIS SUMMARYEdge favors PHI

Full data · 5/5 factors · Data refreshed 18h ago

Starting Pitcher53%47%

K-BB% — vs 4.2%xwOBA against — vs .308Form grade 50 vs 65

Bullpen56%44%

Pen ERA (3d) 5.52 vs 4.11Relief IP (3d) 14.2 vs 15.1High-usage arms 0 vs 1

Offense55%45%

OPS (7d) .759 vs .710ISO (7d) .138 vs .121Form grade 64 vs 44

Run Prevention58%42%

Engine grade 76 vs 54

Context & Health50%50%

Home-field grade 57 vs 58

PHI advantageSTL advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

WHY NYX LEANS PHI

Phillies has the deeper, fresher bullpen

NYX factor grade 78–62, favored side first.

BULLPEN

Phillies prevents runs at a higher clip

NYX factor grade 76–54, favored side first.

RUN PREV

Phillies brings the stronger starting pitcher

NYX factor grade 80–70, favored side first.

PITCHING

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

7:45 PM

Today

PHI Starter

C. Sánchez

Confirmed

STL Starter

A. Pallante

Confirmed

Confidence

Limited

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

Starting lineups are not posted yet.
Starter command risk flagged in recent outings.
Walk rate rises in high-pressure spots.

View Analysis →

9:38 PM ET

TEXvsLAA

C. BradfordR. Johnson

NYX Lean Pending

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Preliminary data · 4/5 factors

NYX has not published a model read for this game yet. The team-level comparison below uses the factors already available.

Starting PitcherNot enough data

Bullpen44%56%

Pen ERA (3d) 2.63 vs 9.31Relief IP (3d) 13.2 vs 9.2High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense57%43%

OPS (7d) .668 vs .578ISO (7d) .115 vs .111Form grade 27 vs 0

Run Prevention59%41%

Engine grade 51 vs 35

Context & Health53%47%

Home-field grade 40 vs 36

TEX advantageLAA advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

9:38 PM

Today

TEX Starter

C. Bradford

Confirmed

LAA Starter

R. Johnson

Confirmed

Confidence

Pending

Model Confidence

View Analysis →

9:40 PM ET

MILvsSD

K. HarrisonW. Buehler

NYX Lean Pending

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Preliminary data · 5/5 factors

NYX has not published a model read for this game yet. The team-level comparison below uses the factors already available.

Starting Pitcher66%34%

Form grade — vs 50

Bullpen49%51%

Pen ERA (3d) 0.00 vs 2.45Relief IP (3d) 8.1 vs 11High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense46%54%

OPS (7d) .734 vs .760ISO (7d) .164 vs .172Form grade 54 vs 64

Run Prevention51%49%

Engine grade 83 vs 79

Context & Health51%49%

Home-field grade 70 vs 67

MIL advantageSD advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

9:40 PM

Today

MIL Starter

K. Harrison

Confirmed

SD Starter

W. Buehler

Confirmed

Confidence

Pending

Model Confidence

View Analysis →

9:40 PM ET

TBvsATH

N. MartinezM. Barnett

NYX Lean Pending

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Preliminary data · 4/5 factors

NYX has not published a model read for this game yet. The team-level comparison below uses the factors already available.

Starting PitcherNot enough data

Bullpen58%42%

Pen ERA (3d) 2.13 vs 1.50Relief IP (3d) 12.2 vs 6High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense55%45%

OPS (7d) .743 vs .613ISO (7d) .149 vs .137Form grade 57 vs 5

Run Prevention69%31%

Engine grade 78 vs 35

Context & Health54%46%

Home-field grade 50 vs 42

TB advantageATH advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

9:40 PM

Today

TB Starter

N. Martinez

Confirmed

ATH Starter

M. Barnett

Confirmed

Confidence

Pending

Model Confidence

View Analysis →

9:40 PM ET

COLvsARI

T. SuganoM. Bratt

NYX Lean Pending

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Preliminary data · 5/5 factors

NYX has not published a model read for this game yet. The team-level comparison below uses the factors already available.

Starting Pitcher18%82%

Bullpen44%56%

Pen ERA (3d) 4.91 vs 3.24Relief IP (3d) 11 vs 8.1High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense49%51%

OPS (7d) .715 vs .765ISO (7d) .146 vs .183Form grade 46 vs 66

Run Prevention18%82%

Engine grade 12 vs 56

Context & Health16%84%

Home-field grade 13 vs 67

COL advantageARI advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

9:40 PM

Today

COL Starter

T. Sugano

Confirmed

ARI Starter

M. Bratt

Confirmed

Confidence

Pending

Model Confidence

View Analysis →

9:45 PM ET

HOUvsSF

H. BrownC. Whisenhunt

NYX Lean Pending

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Preliminary data · 4/5 factors

NYX has not published a model read for this game yet. The team-level comparison below uses the factors already available.

Starting PitcherNot enough data

Bullpen58%42%

Pen ERA (3d) 2.61 vs 5.93Relief IP (3d) 10.1 vs 13.2High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense68%32%

OPS (7d) .678 vs .516ISO (7d) .149 vs .113Form grade 31 vs 0

Run Prevention53%47%

Engine grade 70 vs 61

Context & Health50%50%

Home-field grade 60 vs 60

HOU advantageSF advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

9:45 PM

Today

HOU Starter

H. Brown

Confirmed

SF Starter

C. Whisenhunt

Expected

Confidence

Pending

Model Confidence

UNCERTAINTY

SF starter is projected from the rotation, not announced.

View Analysis →

10:10 PM ET

KCvsLAD

M. WachaB. Snell

NYX Lean Pending

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Preliminary data · 5/5 factors

NYX has not published a model read for this game yet. The team-level comparison below uses the factors already available.

Starting Pitcher36%64%

Bullpen41%59%

Pen ERA (3d) 5.02 vs 2.38Relief IP (3d) 14.1 vs 11.1High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense45%55%

OPS (7d) .696 vs .660ISO (7d) .161 vs .131Form grade 39 vs 24

Run Prevention50%50%

Engine grade 54 vs 55

Context & Health39%61%

Home-field grade 48 vs 76

KC advantageLAD advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

10:10 PM

Today

KC Starter

M. Wacha

Confirmed

LAD Starter

B. Snell

Confirmed

Confidence

Pending

Model Confidence

View Analysis →

1:40 PM ET

BALvsMIN

S. BazZ. Matthews

NYX Lean Pending

ANALYSIS SUMMARY

Preliminary data · 5/5 factors

NYX has not published a model read for this game yet. The team-level comparison below uses the factors already available.

Starting Pitcher70%30%

K-BB% 15.1% vs 13.3%xwOBA against .264 vs .287Form grade 65 vs 62

Bullpen47%53%

Pen ERA (3d) 9.00 vs 4.82Relief IP (3d) 12 vs 9.1High-usage arms 0 vs 0

Offense63%37%

OPS (7d) .734 vs .707ISO (7d) .203 vs .143Form grade 54 vs 43

Run Prevention51%49%

Engine grade 66 vs 64

Context & Health48%52%

Home-field grade 54 vs 59

BAL advantageMIN advantage50/50 mark

Bars show each side’s share of the modeled edge per category.

KEY CONTEXT (PREGAME)

First Pitch

1:40 PM

Today

BAL Starter

S. Baz

Probable

MIN Starter

Z. Matthews

Probable

Confidence

Pending

Model Confidence

View Analysis →