Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.
COL—
PREGAME
7:10 PM ET
CWS—
B
S
O
BASES
NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME
43%COL
57%CWS
LEVERAGE
—
MODEL LEAN PREGAME
CWS
Moderate
MARKET COMPARISON
Informational only
Market implied probability · margin removed
DraftKings
33.2%COL
66.8%CWS
Updated 9h ago
FanDuel
32.7%COL
67.3%CWS
Updated 9h ago
BetMGM
33.0%COL
67.0%CWS
Updated 9h ago
Updates until 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch
Implied probability
Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.
A. Current At-Bat Flow ⓘ
CURRENT MATCHUP
No at-bat in progress — first pitch 7:10 PM ET.
AT-BAT SEQUENCE
Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.
NEXT 3 UP
Shown once the game is underway.
MATCHUP NOTES
White Sox prevents runs at a higher clip
White Sox holds the situational and health edge
White Sox has been the hotter lineup
MODEL EDGE · PREGAME
NYX LeanCWS
Win Prob57%
Edge StrengthMODERATE
S. Matchup Signals ⓘ
CWSSTARTERWhite Sox are 1-3 in Davis Martin's last 4 startsTeam result over his last 4 stored starts.
COLINJURYRockies are without Chase DollanderOut · Right Elbow · club IL list as of Sep 24
CWSINJURYWhite Sox are without Jordan LeasureOut · club IL list as of Sep 24
B. Why NYX Leans CWS ⓘ
Starting Pitcher Edge
48%52%
Bullpen Edge
52%48%
Offense Edge
45%55%
Run Prevention
5%95%
Context & Health
24%76%
F. Players to Watch ⓘ
COLLost 5 straight
Nothing notable yet.
CWSWon 2 straight
Nothing notable yet.
G. Game Facts That Matter ⓘ
Heating upThe Chicago White Sox offense has jumped to a .832 OPS this week.Up from .692 over the prior month — a real change of form.
Power surgeMunetaka Murakami has 4 home runs in his last 15 games.
Bullpen rest: COL 16.0 IP vs CWS 14.3 IP over the last 3 days.
H. Model Read ⓘ
Model Confidence
Moderate
Bullpen Fatigue
COL Heavy
Leverage (proxy)
Game Control (live)
I. Recent Team Form ⓘ
COL (Last 10)2-8
Edge Count1/4
C. Pitching Matchup ⓘ
COLLHP
J. Quintana
Recent form · Last 15 days
K 11.1%BB 5.6%
Whiff 16.7%CSW 21.4%
Recent Form
CWSRHP
D. Martin
Recent form · Last 15 days
K 15.8%BB 7.9%
Whiff 20.0%CSW 26.2%
Recent Form
Rockies hitters vs D. Martin
PLAYERPAHHRAVG
No hitter in this lineup has prior history vs this starter.
White Sox hitters vs J. Quintana
PLAYERPAHHRAVG
No hitter in this lineup has prior history vs this starter.