Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.
COL—
PREGAME
7:40 PM ET
CWS—
B
S
O
BASES
NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME
40%COL
60%CWS
LEVERAGE
—
MODEL LEAN PREGAME
CWS
Moderate
MARKET COMPARISON
Informational only
Market implied probability · margin removed
DraftKings
33.7%COL
66.3%CWS
Updated 18h ago
FanDuel
32.7%COL
67.3%CWS
Updated 18h ago
BetMGM
33.6%COL
66.4%CWS
Updated 18h ago
Updates until 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch
Implied probability
Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.
A. Current At-Bat Flow ⓘ
CURRENT MATCHUP
No at-bat in progress — first pitch 7:40 PM ET.
AT-BAT SEQUENCE
Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.
NEXT 3 UP
Shown once the game is underway.
MATCHUP NOTES
White Sox brings the stronger starting pitcher
White Sox holds the situational and health edge
White Sox prevents runs at a higher clip
MODEL EDGE · PREGAME
NYX LeanCWS
Win Prob60%
Edge StrengthMODERATE
S. Matchup Signals ⓘ
VELOCITYThe Knuckle Curve from Sean Burke has averaged 77 mph over his last three starts, 2.3 mph below his earlier 2026 starts55 measured recently, 427 before · Measured through his start on Sep 19
WHIFFHitters have missed 9.8% of their swings against the Four-Seam from Sean Burke over his last three starts, down 10.8 percentage points from his prior starts41 swings recently, 424 before · Measured through his start on Sep 19
COLINJURYRockies are without Chase DollanderOut · Right Elbow · club IL list as of Sep 24
B. Why NYX Leans CWS ⓘ
Starting Pitcher Edge
24%76%
Bullpen Edge
52%48%
Offense Edge
41%59%
Run Prevention
30%70%
Context & Health
25%75%
F. Players to Watch ⓘ
COLLost 4 straight
Nothing notable yet.
CWS6-4 in last 10
Nothing notable yet.
G. Game Facts That Matter ⓘ
Power surgeChase Meidroth has homered 4 times in his last 15 games.
Cooling offThe Colorado Rockies offense has slipped to a .624 OPS this week.Down from .734 over the prior month.
Bullpen rest: COL 6.0 IP vs CWS 12.7 IP over the last 3 days.