AnalysisGame Detail

LAD vs SF — Game Analysis

Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.

LAD—

PREGAME

10:15 PM ET

SF—

BASES

NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME

67% LAD

33% SF

LEVERAGE

—

MODEL LEAN PREGAME

LAD

Strong

MARKET COMPARISON

Informational only

Market implied probability · margin removed

DraftKings

76.5% LAD

23.5% SF

Updated 18h ago

FanDuel

75.9% LAD

24.1% SF

Updated 18h ago

BetMGM

Not available

Updates until 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch

Implied probability

Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.

Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.

A. Current At-Bat Flow

CURRENT MATCHUP

No at-bat in progress — first pitch 10:15 PM ET.

AT-BAT SEQUENCE

Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.

NEXT 3 UP

Shown once the game is underway.

MATCHUP NOTES

Dodgers has been the hotter lineup

Dodgers prevents runs at a higher clip

Dodgers has the deeper, fresher bullpen

MODEL EDGE · PREGAME

NYX LeanLAD

Win Prob67%

Edge StrengthSTRONG

S. Matchup Signals

PITCH MIXTarik Skubal has leaned more heavily on his Four-Seam lately — 46.7% over his last three starts, up from 36.5% beforehand126 pitches recently, 734 before · Measured through his start on Sep 19
SFINJURYGiants are without Rafael DeversOut · club IL list as of Sep 24
SFINJURYGiants are without Matt ChapmanOut · Abdominal · club IL list as of Sep 24

B. Why NYX Leans LAD

Starting Pitcher EdgeNot enough data

Bullpen Edge

62%38%

Offense Edge

75%25%

Run Prevention

62%38%

Context & Health

55%45%

F. Players to Watch

LAD7-3 in last 10

Nothing notable yet.

SFLost 2 straight

Nothing notable yet.

G. Game Facts That Matter

Run preventionTarik Skubal has allowed two runs or fewer in 4 straight starts.5 earned runs over 26 innings in that span.
Hottest batsThe Los Angeles Dodgers bring today's hottest offense (.966 OPS this week).37 runs over their last seven days; they face the San Francisco Giants tonight.
Cooling offThe San Francisco Giants offense has slipped to a .534 OPS this week.Down from .712 over the prior month.

H. Model Read

Model Confidence

Strong

Bullpen Fatigue

SF Heavy

Leverage (proxy)

Game Control (live)

I. Recent Team Form

LAD (Last 10)7-3