Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.
CLE1
FINAL
BOS0
B
S
O
BASES
NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME
48%CLE
52%BOS
LEVERAGE
—
MODEL LEAN PREGAME
BOS
Toss-up
MARKET COMPARISON
Informational only
Market implied probability · margin removed
DraftKings
45.8%CLE
54.2%BOS
Updated 2d ago
FanDuel
45.7%CLE
54.3%BOS
Updated 2d ago
BetMGM
45.7%CLE
54.3%BOS
Updated 2d ago
Pregame market · locked 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch
Implied probability
Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.
A. Current At-Bat Flow ⓘ
CURRENT MATCHUP
No at-bat in progress — first pitch 6:45 PM ET.
AT-BAT SEQUENCE
Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.
NEXT 3 UP
Shown once the game is underway.
MATCHUP NOTES
Red Sox prevents runs at a higher clip
MODEL EDGE · PREGAME
NYX LeanBOS
Win Prob52%
Edge StrengthTOSS-UP
B. Why NYX Leans BOS ⓘ
Starting Pitcher Edge
52%48%
Bullpen Edge
49%51%
Offense Edge
59%41%
Run Prevention
48%52%
Context & Health
51%49%
F. Players to Watch ⓘ
CLEWon 2 straight
A. MartínezRFHOT BAT1-4 | HR, RBI, R today
J. Ramírez3BHOT BAT2-4 | K, SB today
BOSWon 2 straight
H. Model Read ⓘ
Model Confidence
Toss-up
Bullpen Fatigue
CLE Heavy
Leverage (proxy)
I. Recent Team Form ⓘ
CLE (Last 10)8-2
5.0
Runs For
Edge Count3/2
C. Pitching Matchup ⓘ
CLERHP
D. Espino
1.0 IP17 Pitches
0 H0 BB2 K
0 ER4.40 ERA
Recent Form
BOSLHP
R. Suarez
5.0 IP86 Pitches
3 H1 BB5 K
1 ER3.22 ERA
Recent Form
Opposing lineup vs him.667 (10 PA)
Guardians hitters vs R. Suarez
PLAYERPAHHRAVG
J. Ramírez310.333
J. Adell2201.000
D. Fry3201.000
B. Rocchio210.500
Only hitters with prior matchup history are shown.
Red Sox hitters vs D. Espino
PLAYERPAHHRAVG
No hitter in this lineup has prior history vs this starter.
D. Bullpen Status ⓘ
CLE BullpenHeavy
Usage (Last 3 Days)
8 relievers used
15.7 IP used
BOS BullpenHeavy
Usage (Last 3 Days)
9 relievers used
19.0 IP used
E. Injury / Availability ⓘ
CLE+1 more on IL
C. Holderman P
Injured 15-Day
15-Day IL
BOS+11 more on IL
C. Mead 3B
Injured 10-Day
10-Day IL
R. Suarez
SP
PITCH COUNT
86 pitches today
G. Game Facts That Matter ⓘ
Bullpen rest: CLE 15.7 IP vs BOS 19.0 IP over the last 3 days.