Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.
LAA—
PREGAME
3:10 PM ET
SEA—
B
S
O
BASES
NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME
40%LAA
60%SEA
LEVERAGE
—
MODEL LEAN PREGAME
SEA
Moderate
MARKET COMPARISON
Informational only
Market implied probability · margin removed
DraftKings
38.4%LAA
61.6%SEA
Updated 1h ago
FanDuel
35.9%LAA
64.1%SEA
Updated 1h ago
BetMGM
37.4%LAA
62.6%SEA
Updated 1h ago
Updates until 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch
Implied probability
Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.
A. Current At-Bat Flow ⓘ
CURRENT MATCHUP
No at-bat in progress — first pitch 3:10 PM ET.
AT-BAT SEQUENCE
Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.
NEXT 3 UP
Shown once the game is underway.
MATCHUP NOTES
Mariners brings the stronger starting pitcher
Mariners holds the situational and health edge
Mariners has the deeper, fresher bullpen
MODEL EDGE · PREGAME
NYX LeanSEA
Win Prob60%
Edge StrengthMODERATE
S. Matchup Signals ⓘ
WHIFFHitters have missed 51.1% of their swings against the Slider from Logan Gilbert over his last three starts, up 18.1 percentage points from his prior starts45 swings recently, 348 before · Measured through his start on Sep 22
STARTERLogan Gilbert has been missing bats34.5% whiff rate over 15 days · as of Sep 23
LAASTARTERAngels are 1-4 in Yusei Kikuchi's last 5 startsTeam result over his last 5 stored starts.
B. Why NYX Leans SEA ⓘ
Starting Pitcher Edge
35%65%
Bullpen Edge
46%54%
Offense Edge
44%56%
Run Prevention
45%55%
Context & Health
35%65%
F. Players to Watch ⓘ
LAAWon 2 straight
Nothing notable yet.
SEALost 2 straight
Nothing notable yet.
G. Game Facts That Matter ⓘ
Bullpen rest: LAA 10.7 IP vs SEA 13.7 IP over the last 3 days.