Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.
COL—
PREGAME
3:10 PM ET
CWS—
B
S
O
BASES
NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME
41%COL
59%CWS
LEVERAGE
—
MODEL LEAN PREGAME
CWS
Moderate
MARKET COMPARISON
Informational only
Market implied probability · margin removed
DraftKings
34.2%COL
65.8%CWS
Updated 1h ago
FanDuel
34.8%COL
65.2%CWS
Updated 1h ago
BetMGM
34.2%COL
65.8%CWS
Updated 1h ago
Updates until 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch
Implied probability
Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.
A. Current At-Bat Flow ⓘ
CURRENT MATCHUP
No at-bat in progress — first pitch 3:10 PM ET.
AT-BAT SEQUENCE
Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.
NEXT 3 UP
Shown once the game is underway.
MATCHUP NOTES
White Sox prevents runs at a higher clip
White Sox holds the situational and health edge
White Sox brings the stronger starting pitcher
MODEL EDGE · PREGAME
NYX LeanCWS
Win Prob59%
Edge StrengthMODERATE
S. Matchup Signals ⓘ
PITCH MIXAnthony Kay has leaned more heavily on his Sweeper lately — 36.9% over his last three starts, up from 22.6% beforehand73 pitches recently, 536 before · Measured through his start on Sep 22
PITCH MIXKyle Freeland has leaned more heavily on his Sinker lately — 22.2% over his last three starts, up from 8.5% beforehand41 pitches recently, 165 before · Measured through his start on Sep 22
COLSTARTERRockies are 2-3 in Kyle Freeland's last 5 startsTeam result over his last 5 stored starts.
B. Why NYX Leans CWS ⓘ
Starting Pitcher Edge
37%63%
Bullpen Edge
52%48%
Offense Edge
45%55%
Run Prevention
5%95%
Context & Health
24%76%
F. Players to Watch ⓘ
COLLost 5 straight
Nothing notable yet.
CWSWon 2 straight
Nothing notable yet.
G. Game Facts That Matter ⓘ
Bullpen rest: COL 16.0 IP vs CWS 14.3 IP over the last 3 days.