AnalysisGame Detail

ARI vs COL — Game Analysis

Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.

ARI12

FINAL

COL8

BASES

NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME

60% ARI

40% COL

LEVERAGE

—

MODEL LEAN PREGAME

ARI

Moderate

MARKET COMPARISON

Informational only

Market implied probability · margin removed

DraftKings

63.6% ARI

36.4% COL

Updated 2d ago

FanDuel

63.4% ARI

36.6% COL

Updated 2d ago

BetMGM

63.9% ARI

36.1% COL

Updated 2d ago

Pregame market · locked 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch

Implied probability

Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.

Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.

A. Current At-Bat Flow

CURRENT MATCHUP

No at-bat in progress — first pitch 3:10 PM ET.

AT-BAT SEQUENCE

Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.

NEXT 3 UP

Shown once the game is underway.

MATCHUP NOTES

D-backs prevents runs at a higher clip

D-backs brings the stronger starting pitcher

D-backs has been the hotter lineup

MODEL EDGE · PREGAME

NYX LeanARI

Win Prob60%

Edge StrengthMODERATE

B. Why NYX Leans ARI

Starting Pitcher Edge

70%30%

Bullpen Edge

56%44%

Offense Edge

63%37%

Run Prevention

85%15%

Context & Health

56%44%

F. Players to Watch

ARIWon 6 straight

G. MorenoDHHOT BAT1-6 | HR, K, 3 RBI today

J. McCannCHOT BAT2-5 | HR, 2 RBI, R today

COLLost 5 straight

H. Model Read

Model Confidence

Moderate

Bullpen Fatigue

COL Heavy

Leverage (proxy)

I. Recent Team Form

ARI (Last 10)7-3

6.3

Runs For

C. Pitching Matchup

ARILHP

E. Rodriguez

6.0 IP92 Pitches

9 H0 BB3 K

2 ER2.89 ERA

Recent Form

Opposing lineup vs him.238 (21 PA)

COLRHP

T. Gordon

3.1 IP96 Pitches

12 H4 BB1 K

10 ER6.68 ERA

Recent Form

D-backs hitters vs T. Gordon

PLAYERPAHHRAVG

No hitter in this lineup has prior history vs this starter.

Rockies hitters vs E. Rodriguez

PLAYERPAHHRAVG

H. Goodman610.167

T. Rumfield310.333

K. Karros510.200

B. Fulford200.000

E. Tovar520.400

Only hitters with prior matchup history are shown.

G. Game Facts That Matter

Bullpen rest: ARI 8.7 IP vs COL 16.0 IP over the last 3 days.

Form: ARI 7-3, COL 2-8 over the last 10 games.

Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 39 HR

Nolan Arenado leads the D-backs with 30 HR

TJ Rumfield leads the Rockies with 163 hits

Gabriel Moreno leads the D-backs with 146 hits

Gabriel Moreno ranks #2 in MLB in AVG (.311)