Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.
PIT—
PREGAME
3:10 PM ET
DET—
B
S
O
BASES
NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME
48%PIT
52%DET
LEVERAGE
—
MODEL LEAN PREGAME
DET
Toss-up
MARKET COMPARISON
Informational only
Market implied probability · margin removed
DraftKings
55.1%PIT
44.9%DET
Updated 1h ago
FanDuel
52.0%PIT
48.0%DET
Updated 1h ago
BetMGM
53.7%PIT
46.3%DET
Updated 1h ago
Updates until 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch
Implied probability
Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.
A. Current At-Bat Flow ⓘ
CURRENT MATCHUP
No at-bat in progress — first pitch 3:10 PM ET.
AT-BAT SEQUENCE
Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.
NEXT 3 UP
Shown once the game is underway.
MATCHUP NOTES
Tigers holds the situational and health edge
Tigers has been the hotter lineup
MODEL EDGE · PREGAME
NYX LeanDET
Win Prob52%
Edge StrengthTOSS-UP
S. Matchup Signals ⓘ
DETINJURYTigers are without Burch SmithOut · Right Shoulder · club IL list as of Sep 26
PITINJURYPirates are without Endy RodríguezOut · Left Hip · club IL list as of Sep 26
DETODDITYThe Tigers are 10 games under .500 with a +72 run differential
B. Why NYX Leans DET ⓘ
Starting Pitcher Edge
51%49%
Bullpen Edge
54%46%
Offense Edge
48%52%
Run Prevention
52%48%
Context & Health
36%64%
F. Players to Watch ⓘ
PITLost 2 straight
Nothing notable yet.
DETWon 2 straight
Nothing notable yet.
G. Game Facts That Matter ⓘ
Bullpen rest: PIT 15.3 IP vs DET 7.3 IP over the last 3 days.