AnalysisGame Detail

CWS vs KC — Game Analysis

Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.

CWS9

FINAL

KC1

BASES

NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME

48% CWS

52% KC

LEVERAGE

—

MODEL LEAN PREGAME

Toss-up

MARKET COMPARISON

Informational only

Market implied probability · margin removed

DraftKings

56.1% CWS

43.9% KC

Updated 2d ago

FanDuel

54.7% CWS

45.3% KC

Updated 2d ago

BetMGM

55.6% CWS

44.4% KC

Updated 2d ago

Pregame market · locked 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch

Implied probability

Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.

Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.

A. Current At-Bat Flow

CURRENT MATCHUP

No at-bat in progress — first pitch 2:10 PM ET.

AT-BAT SEQUENCE

Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.

NEXT 3 UP

Shown once the game is underway.

MATCHUP NOTES

Royals holds the situational and health edge

Royals has the deeper, fresher bullpen

Royals prevents runs at a higher clip

MODEL EDGE · PREGAME

NYX LeanKC

Win Prob52%

Edge StrengthTOSS-UP

B. Why NYX Leans KC

Starting Pitcher Edge

61%39%

Bullpen Edge

44%56%

Offense Edge

55%45%

Run Prevention

43%57%

Context & Health

44%56%

F. Players to Watch

CWSWon 2 straight

K. TeelCHOT BAT2-2 | HR, BB, 2 HBP today

D. SandlinSPDEALING7 K · 1 ER today

KCLost 2 straight

H. Model Read

Model Confidence

Toss-up

Bullpen Fatigue

KC Heavy

Leverage (proxy)

I. Recent Team Form

CWS (Last 10)6-4

6.4

Runs For

C. Pitching Matchup

CWSRHP

D. Sandlin

6.0 IP85 Pitches

5 H0 BB7 K

1 ER5.58 ERA

Recent Form

Opposing lineup vs him.000 (11 PA)

KCRHP

R. Dobnak

1.1 IP42 Pitches

6 H1 BB1 K

4 ER3.51 ERA

Recent Form

White Sox hitters vs R. Dobnak

PLAYERPAHHRAVG

No hitter in this lineup has prior history vs this starter.

Royals hitters vs D. Sandlin

PLAYERPAHHRAVG

B. Witt Jr.300.000

S. Perez200.000

M. Massey200.000

N. Loftin200.000

I. Collins200.000

Only hitters with prior matchup history are shown.

G. Game Facts That Matter

Bullpen rest: CWS 14.3 IP vs KC 17.3 IP over the last 3 days.

Form: CWS 6-4, KC 2-8 over the last 10 games.

Carter Jensen leads the Royals with 27 HR

Munetaka Murakami leads the White Sox with 35 HR

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 155 hits

Chase Meidroth leads the White Sox with 155 hits

Jac Caglianone ranks #15 in MLB in AVG (.286)