AnalysisGame Detail

CLE vs KC — Game Analysis

Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.

CLE12

FINAL

KC9

BASES

NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME

52% CLE

48% KC

LEVERAGE

—

MODEL LEAN PREGAME

CLE

Toss-up

MARKET COMPARISON

Informational only

Market implied probability · margin removed

DraftKings

56.6% CLE

43.4% KC

Updated 26h ago

FanDuel

56.3% CLE

43.7% KC

Updated 26h ago

BetMGM

56.3% CLE

43.7% KC

Updated 25h ago

Pregame market · locked 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch

Implied probability

Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.

Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.

A. Current At-Bat Flow

CURRENT MATCHUP

No at-bat in progress — first pitch 7:40 PM ET.

AT-BAT SEQUENCE

Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.

NEXT 3 UP

Shown once the game is underway.

MATCHUP NOTES

Guardians prevents runs at a higher clip

Guardians has the deeper, fresher bullpen

Guardians brings the stronger starting pitcher

MODEL EDGE · PREGAME

NYX LeanCLE

Win Prob52%

Edge StrengthTOSS-UP

B. Why NYX Leans CLE

Starting Pitcher Edge

52%48%

Bullpen Edge

55%45%

Offense Edge

54%46%

Run Prevention

69%31%

Context & Health

52%48%

F. Players to Watch

CLEWon 2 straight

A. MartínezRFHOT BAT2-5 | 2B, BB, 4 RBI today

KCLost 2 straight

C. JensenCHOT BAT2-4 | 2 HR, K, 5 RBI today

H. Model Read

Model Confidence

Toss-up

Bullpen Fatigue

CLE Heavy

Leverage (proxy)

I. Recent Team Form

CLE (Last 10)8-2

5.0

Runs For

C. Pitching Matchup

CLERHP

G. Williams

3.1 IP74 Pitches

5 H4 BB4 K

4 ER3.76 ERA

Recent Form

Opposing lineup vs him.186 (66 PA)

KCLHP

N. Cameron

5.0 IP101 Pitches

7 H4 BB3 K

6 ER4.11 ERA

Recent Form

Opposing lineup vs him.273 (11 PA)

Guardians hitters vs N. Cameron

PLAYERPAHHRAVG

S. Kwan310.333

J. Ramírez300.000

A. Martínez320.667

B. Rocchio200.000

Only hitters with prior matchup history are shown.

Royals hitters vs G. Williams

PLAYERPAHHRAVG

C. Jensen811.125

B. Witt Jr.940.444

J. Caglianone800.000

M. Garcia900.000

V. Pasquantino900.000

S. Perez920.250

M. Massey642.667

K. Isbel800.000

Only hitters with prior matchup history are shown.

G. Game Facts That Matter

Bullpen rest: CLE 15.7 IP vs KC 17.3 IP over the last 3 days.

Form: CLE 8-2, KC 2-8 over the last 10 games.

Carter Jensen leads the Royals with 27 HR

Chase DeLauter leads the Guardians with 15 HR

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 155 hits

Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 149 hits

Chase DeLauter ranks #13 in MLB in AVG (.287)