Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.
SD4
FINAL
LAD2
B
S
O
BASES
NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME
No locked pregame forecast for this game
LEVERAGE
—
MODEL LEAN PREGAME
Not locked
MARKET COMPARISON
Informational only
Market implied probability · margin removed
DraftKings
39.5%SD
60.5%LAD
Updated 47h ago
FanDuel
39.0%SD
61.0%LAD
Updated 47h ago
BetMGM
39.1%SD
60.9%LAD
Updated 47h ago
Pregame market · locked 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch
Implied probability
Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.
A. Current At-Bat Flow ⓘ
CURRENT MATCHUP
No at-bat in progress — first pitch 10:10 PM ET.
AT-BAT SEQUENCE
Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.
NEXT 3 UP
Shown once the game is underway.
MATCHUP NOTES
No notes for this matchup.
MODEL EDGE · PREGAME
No locked pregame forecast for this game.
B. Why NYX Leans ⓘ
Starting Pitcher Edge
45%55%
Bullpen Edge
46%54%
Offense Edge
43%57%
Run Prevention
39%61%
Context & Health
44%56%
F. Players to Watch ⓘ
SD7-3 in last 10
N. PivettaSPDEALING7 K · 0 ER today
F. Tatis Jr.RFHOT BAT2-3 | BB, K, RBI today
LADWon 2 straight
H. Model Read ⓘ
Model Confidence
Bullpen Fatigue
SD Heavy
Leverage (proxy)
I. Recent Team Form ⓘ
SD (Last 10)7-3
5.6
Runs For
4.6
Edge Count0/5
C. Pitching Matchup ⓘ
SDRHP
N. Pivetta
4.2 IP87 Pitches
4 H1 BB7 K
0 ER2.86 ERA
Recent Form
LADRHP
T. Glasnow
6.1 IP91 Pitches
3 H2 BB11 K
3 ER3.53 ERA
Recent Form
Padres hitters vs T. Glasnow
PLAYERPAHHRAVG
No hitter in this lineup has prior history vs this starter.
Dodgers hitters vs N. Pivetta
PLAYERPAHHRAVG
No hitter in this lineup has prior history vs this starter.
D. Bullpen Status ⓘ
SD BullpenHeavy
Usage (Last 3 Days)
8 relievers used
14.0 IP used
LAD BullpenHeavy
Usage (Last 3 Days)
9 relievers used
13.7 IP used
E. Injury / Availability ⓘ
SD+7 more on IL
J. Estrada P
Injured 15-Day
15-Day IL
LAD+6 more on IL
E. Henriquez P
Injured 15-Day
15-Day IL
T. Glasnow
SP
PITCH COUNT
91 pitches today
S. OhtaniDHHOT BAT2-5 | 2B, K, RBI today
G. Game Facts That Matter ⓘ
Bullpen rest: SD 14.0 IP vs LAD 13.7 IP over the last 3 days.