AnalysisGame Detail

LAA vs SEA — Game Analysis

Win-prediction breakdown — how the NYX model sees this game, pregame to final.

LAA7

FINAL

SEA5

BASES

NYX WIN PROBABILITY PREGAME

48% LAA

52% SEA

LEVERAGE

—

MODEL LEAN PREGAME

SEA

Toss-up

MARKET COMPARISON

Informational only

Market implied probability · margin removed

DraftKings

48.7% LAA

51.3% SEA

Updated 23h ago

FanDuel

48.0% LAA

52.0% SEA

Updated 23h ago

BetMGM

48.3% LAA

51.7% SEA

Updated 23h ago

Pregame market · locked 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch

Implied probability

Market context is shown alongside the NYX read for comparison only — it is not an input to the NYX analysis above and does not change it.

Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.

A. Current At-Bat Flow

CURRENT MATCHUP

No at-bat in progress — first pitch 10:10 PM ET.

AT-BAT SEQUENCE

Pitch-by-pitch appears once the game starts.

NEXT 3 UP

Shown once the game is underway.

MATCHUP NOTES

Mariners holds the situational and health edge

Mariners has been the hotter lineup

Mariners prevents runs at a higher clip

MODEL EDGE · PREGAME

NYX LeanSEA

Win Prob52%

Edge StrengthTOSS-UP

B. Why NYX Leans SEA

Starting Pitcher Edge

65%35%

Bullpen Edge

44%56%

Offense Edge

39%61%

Run Prevention

42%58%

Context & Health

34%66%

F. Players to Watch

LAAWon 2 straight

Z. NetoSSHOT BAT3-5 | HR, 2 2B, K today

C. Moore2BHOT BAT1-4 | HR, K, 3 RBI today

SEALost 2 straight

H. Model Read

Model Confidence

Toss-up

Bullpen Fatigue

SEA Heavy

Leverage (proxy)

I. Recent Team Form

LAA (Last 10)5-5

3.8

Runs For

C. Pitching Matchup

LAALHP

R. Detmers

6.0 IP86 Pitches

2 H2 BB7 K

0 ER3.36 ERA

Recent Form

Opposing lineup vs him.194 (39 PA)

SEARHP

B. Miller

6.0 IP92 Pitches

6 H2 BB7 K

5 ER4.17 ERA

Recent Form

Opposing lineup vs him.190 (23 PA)

Angels hitters vs B. Miller

PLAYERPAHHRAVG

Z. Neto310.333

M. Trout300.000

V. Grissom310.500

D. Guzman310.333

J. Lowe300.000

C. Moore311.333

T. d'Arnaud300.000

B. Teodosio200.000

Only hitters with prior matchup history are shown.

Mariners hitters vs R. Detmers

PLAYERPAHHRAVG

R. Arozarena620.333

D. Canzone620.400

J. Rodríguez600.000

J. Naylor600.000

M. Arroyo520.400

C. Young400.000

J. Pereda200.000

W. Wilson410.250

Only hitters with prior matchup history are shown.

G. Game Facts That Matter

Bullpen rest: LAA 10.7 IP vs SEA 13.7 IP over the last 3 days.

Form: LAA 5-5, SEA 4-6 over the last 10 games.

Randy Arozarena leads the Mariners with 26 HR

Zach Neto leads the Angels with 27 HR

Randy Arozarena leads the Mariners with 158 hits

Zach Neto leads the Angels with 148 hits

Randy Arozarena ranks #23 in MLB in AVG (.280)