NYX MORNING INTELLIGENCE

Understand the game in 10 seconds.

August 11, 2026

Updated 5:35 PM EDT

WHAT MATTERS TODAY

Detroit Tigers holds a 20.1-pt model edge (Detroit Tigers 66.5 vs Cleveland Guardians 46.5). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Chicago Cubs holds a 0.5-pt model edge (Washington Nationals 61.0 vs Chicago Cubs 61.5). Confidence 64% (medium data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Miami Marlins holds a 23.4-pt model edge (Miami Marlins 68.6 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 45.2). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

New York Yankees holds a 13.6-pt model edge (New York Yankees 58.0 vs Seattle Mariners 44.4). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Boston Red Sox holds a 5.7-pt model edge (Toronto Blue Jays 55.5 vs Boston Red Sox 61.2). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

IMPACT

LOW

View all insights

TODAY'S MOTIVATION REPORT

WILD CARD FIGHTEXTREME

PSTL

Phillies @ Cardinals

7:45 PM EDT

Phillies are tied for the final wild-card spot.

WHY TODAY

Every game swings the wild-card race — today's result moves Phillies up or down the standings.

TODAY'S RESULT

WINStrengthens the wild-card push.

LOSEFalls further back — elimination number to 35.

MOTIVATION DRIVERS

NL East7.5 GB

Wild cardtied for the last spot

Games remaining42

Last 107-3

MORE STAKES TODAY

TLAA

Rangers @ Angels

Wild Card Fight

EXTREME

COAZ

Rockies @ D-backs

Wild Card Fight

EXTREME

HSF

Astros @ Giants

Division Battle

EXTREME

View analysis

HIDDEN STORY

Bullpen Risk

Athletics's bullpen is showing strain.

Relief ERA sits at 16.34 over the last week, with workload building.

See full story

WATCH THIS

Paul Skenes vs Eury Pérez

Today, 6:40 PM EDT

Paul Skenes

6W · 3.62 ERA

Eury Pérez

4W · 4.21 ERA

92.3 mph

Avg Velo

30.9%

K %

19.1%

BB %

.420

xwOBA

93.3 mph

Avg Velo

31.3%

K %

8.3%

BB %

.279

xwOBA

PITCH MIX (LAST 30 DAYS)

4-Seam FastballSliderCurveballChangeup

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MOMENTUM MAP

Last 10 Games

HEATING UP

RDBACPSD

TRENDING UP

HAZMMTBCI

STABLE

MSTLCWSNYTMWCOO

COOLING DOWN

CPKCLAAM

ICE COLD

LASFA

HOT

COLD

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BIGGEST UPSET ALERT

NYX Upset Meter

CIATCWS

Model Implied

—

NYX Score

52%

Key Edge Factors

Starting Pitcher Edge

Recent Offensive Form

View analysis

ROAD TO OCTOBER

Playoff Picture Today

TEAMW-LPCTGBMAGIC #L10STRK

RRays72-46.610-398-2W7

NYYankees66-52.5596.0—5-5L1

BRed Sox64-54.5428.0—7-3L3

OOrioles57-62.47915.5—4-6L1

TBBlue Jays57-63.47516.0—6-4W1

How It Changed

Red Sox gained 8.0 GB over 41 days.

Jun 22Jul 4Jul 19Aug 2

TBNYYBOSBALTOR

Full playoff race

IF YOU ONLY WATCH ONE GAME TONIGHT

Pirates @ Marlins

6:40 PM EDT

NYX win probability: 52%

Marlins favored by the model

Today’s strongest NYX read

View analysis

AFTER THE GAME

YESTERDAY RESULT

BBOS1 - 2TBTOR

WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED

—

NYX EDGE

NYX missed

shocking

View analysis

TODAY'S FACTS

Latest completed slate

Through 2026-08-10

Standout Game

Yandy Díaz had the top offensive game of the slate — 7 total bases

3 hits with 1 HR.

Yandy Díaz

Built from 1 signals

League Leader

Yordan Alvarez leads the MLB in home runs — 35

Yordan Alvarez

Built from 1 signals

TRENDING TEAMS

New York Yankees — Elite Defense

FLD% 0.9955 · 2 E · #1 of 30

DEFENSE

STRONG

Philadelphia Phillies — Plate Discipline Edge

BB% 0.1257 · K% 0.1611 · #1 of 30

DISCIPLINE

STRONG

Tampa Bay Rays — Pitching Trending Up

ERA 2.87 · FIP 4.12 · WHIP 0.88 · #1 of 30

PITCHING

STRONG

STL

St. Louis Cardinals — Health

2 on IL (1 P / 1 pos) · #1 of 30

HEALTH

STRONG

New York Mets — Momentum Rising

OPS 0.8896 last 7 vs 0.7401 last 30 (+0.149) · #1 of 30

MOMENTUM

STRONG

View all teams

BULLPEN HIGHLIGHTS

Season · Relief

Red Sox

23.3% K · 34 SV

2.91

BP ERA

2NY

Yankees

22.6% K · 33 SV

3.13

BP ERA

Braves

24.2% K · 37 SV

3.45

BP ERA

Brewers

24.3% K · 38 SV

3.48

BP ERA

5SD

Padres

24.0% K · 36 SV

3.63

BP ERA

Full bullpen rankings

PITCHING HIGHLIGHTS

Last 14 Days

Rays

0.88 WHIP · 7.5 K/9 · .197 OPP AVG

ERA

2.87

Brewers

1.06 WHIP · 9.9 K/9 · .198 OPP AVG

ERA

2.92

3CWS

White Sox

1.32 WHIP · 10.1 K/9 · .228 OPP AVG

ERA

3.02

Mariners

1.06 WHIP · 8.8 K/9 · .222 OPP AVG

ERA

3.12

Red Sox

1.19 WHIP · 9.2 K/9 · .233 OPP AVG

ERA

3.21

Team pitching ranks

INJURY HIGHLIGHTS

Juan Soto · LF

NYM · 10-Day IL

IMPACT

ELITE · 94

James Wood · RF

WSH · 10-Day IL

IMPACT

ELITE · 92

Nick Kurtz · 1B

ATH · 10-Day IL

IMPACT

ELITE · 92

Joe Ryan · P

MIN · 15-Day IL

IMPACT

ELITE · 92

Aaron Judge · RF

NYY · 60-Day IL

IMPACT

ELITE · 91

Byron Buxton · CF

MIN · 10-Day IL

IMPACT

ELITE · 88

View team health

TODAY'S INSIGHTS

Insights Engine

BULLPEN

Braves bullpen is running on fumes

Relief corps over the last 7 days

BULLPEN

Padres bullpen is running on fumes

Relief corps over the last 7 days

LAA

BULLPEN

Angels bullpen has slipped over the last few days

Relief corps over the last 7 days

BULLPEN

Brewers bullpen is running on fumes

Relief corps over the last 7 days

CWS

MATCHUP

White Sox bring the stronger arm to the mound

Model edge of 15.2 pts in today's matchup

View all insights

LEAGUE LEADERS

BATTING AVG

Y. Alvarez (HOU)

.323

HOME RUNS

K. Schwarber (PHI)

ERA

J. Misiorowski (MIL)

1.76

STRIKEOUTS

J. Misiorowski (MIL)

204

SAVES

B. Baker (TB)

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