Model History
NYX prediction track record · 658 games graded · last 90 days
30D90DSeasonAll
PREDICTION ACCURACY
53.5%
forecast-of-record
BRIER SCORE
0.248
lower is better
HIGH-CONF HIT RATE
66.7%
2 of 3 picks >70%
UNITS RETURNED
—
Not tracked — NYX is win-probability only
ACCURACY OVER TIME
OverallJun 16Jun 28Jul 8Jul 22Aug 1Aug 10
CALIBRATION
50–60%act 52% · exp 53%
60–70%act 59% · exp 63%
70–80%act 60% · exp 70%
80–90%no picks
90%+act 67% · exp 92%
Actual hit-rateExpected
RECENT PREDICTIONS
Graded daily · most recent firstDATEMATCHUPNYX PICKCONFEDGERESULT
Aug 10Rockies @ D-backsD-backs56%—✓ HIT
Aug 10Rays @ AthleticsAthletics52%—✗ MISS
Aug 10Mets @ BravesBraves52%—✗ MISS
Aug 10Rangers @ AngelsAngels52%—✗ MISS
Aug 10Royals @ DodgersDodgers60%—✓ HIT
Aug 10Orioles @ TwinsTwins52%—✓ HIT
Aug 10Brewers @ PadresPadres52%—✓ HIT
Aug 10Astros @ GiantsAstros52%—✓ HIT
Edge not shown — NYX reports win probability only (no market line, odds, or units).
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