Division Series · Wednesday, October 7 · Yankee StadiumStarting: G. Jax (RHP) vs M. Fried (LHP)
PREGAME MARKET
Informational only
Market implied probability · margin removed
Kalshi
Unavailable
Polymarket
Unavailable
FanDuel
Unavailable
DraftKings
Unavailable
BetMGM
Unavailable
Updates until 5 minutes before scheduled first pitch
Implied probability
Each source's probability comes from its own listed prices with the built-in margin removed, so the two teams sum to 100%. Sources are shown side by side and never averaged. Informational market data only — not advice.
Data via The Odds API. Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators. NYX AETHER does not accept wagers.
Key Matchup Read
The facts that frame this matchup — starters, availability, workload and form.
WHIFFHitters have missed 14.3% of their swings against the Cutter from Max Fried over his last three starts, down 12.3 percentage points from his prior starts35 swings recently, 158 before · Measured through his start on Sep 22
NYYSTARTERYankees are 3-2 in Max Fried's last 5 startsTeam result over his last 5 stored starts.
NYYINJURYYankees are without Fernando CruzOut · Right Elbow · club IL list as of Oct 3
Team Briefing
Current availability, form and club context for each side. Source dates are shown where available.
TBRays
INJURYOCT 3
Rays are without Ryan Pepiot
Out · Right Hip · club IL list as of Oct 3
ROSTERTODAY
Health: Strong
1 on IL (1 P / 0 pos) · #2 of 30
STORYOCT 3
Bryan Baker leads the MLB in saves — 41
Through Oct 3
TEAM FORMTODAY
Pitching: Strong
ERA 2.87 · FIP 4.12 · WHIP 0.88 · #1 of 30
TEAM FORMTODAY
Defense: Above Average
FLD% 0.9887 · 3 E · #12 of 30
NYYYankees
BULLPENTODAY
Bullpen: Strong
Bullpen ERA 3.13 · WHIP 1.22 · #2 of 30
Starting Pitching
The two starters, and how each lineup has actually fared against the arm it faces.
TBRHPPROJECTED
G. Jax
Recent form · Last 15 days
33.3%K%
5.6%BB%
31.8%Whiff%
35.5%CSW%
Last 5 decisions
NYYLHPPROJECTED
M. Fried
Recent form · Last 15 days
20.4%K%
6.1%
Bullpen & Availability
Who is rested, and who is unavailable.
Bullpen workload
TBHeavy
12.7relief IP over the last 3 days
9 relievers used
NYYFresh
5.7relief IP over the last 3 days
5 relievers used
Injured list
TB+1 more listed
E. Uceta P60-Day IL
G. Lux LF60-Day IL
J. Melton
Game Facts
Verified facts about this matchup, each traceable to a real row.
Bullpen rest: TB 12.7 IP vs NYY 5.7 IP over the last 3 days.
Form: TB 6-4, NYY 6-4 over the last 10 games.
Ben Rice leads the Yankees with 41 HR
Junior Caminero leads the Rays with 42 HR
Ben Rice leads the Yankees with 151 hits
Yandy Díaz leads the Rays with 180 hits
Chandler Simpson ranks #4 in MLB in AVG (.306)
Recent Team Form
Results and run-scoring over each club’s last completed games.