Final
CHC4–5
Final
ARILine score not available yet.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
D-backs won · Cubs 4, D-backs 5
Pregame edge
Cubs · missed
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
Cubs Favored
The Cubs enter tonight with the deeper bullpen and a more rested bullpen. The D-backs counter with a strong starter, but NYX still gives Cubs the edge on overall matchup quality.
Strong Edge
D-backs also brings
- •Better starter projection
- •Home field
Prediction updated: 59 min agoNYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward ValidatedLineups: PendingStarters: Probable
Why NYX Sees the Edge
- ✓Better bullpen quality
- ✓Lower bullpen fatigue
- ✓Better recent form
Home Advantage
D-backs home58%40–29
Cubs road55%38–31
Home Edge+3
Team Story
Cubs has handled the road well this season (55%). D-backs brings real power upside at the plate, but the matchup leans Cubs on the bullpen edge and the bats.
Game Notes
- •Ketel Marte leads the D-backs with 21 HR
- •Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Cubs with 33 HR
- •Corbin Carroll leads the D-backs with 121 hits
- •Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Cubs with 141 hits
- •Gabriel Moreno ranks #6 in MLB in AVG (.303)
Overall MatchupCubsD-backs
75
57
Matchup Scorecard
59
Starting Pitching
67
100
Offense
68
77
Bullpen
25
—
Defense
—
—
Health
—
55
Context
58
Home starter
Brandon Pfaadt
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Clay Holmes
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Injury Report
Cubs
15 on the IL- PBen Brown60-Day IL· 80 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-06-21
- RFMatt Shaw10-Day IL· 74 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-06-29
- SSDansby Swanson10-Day IL· 59 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-08-17
- PEdward Cabrera15-Day IL· 53 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-08-17
- PPhil Maton60-Day IL· 49 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-20
- PHoby Milner15-Day IL· 36 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-06-26
- PGavin Hollowell15-Day IL· 22 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-07-31
- PCade Horton60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PDaniel Palencia60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PHunter Harvey60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PJustin Steele60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PPorter Hodge60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PRiley Martin60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PShelby Miller60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- 1BTyler Austin60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
D-backs
12 on the IL- 2BKetel Marte10-Day IL· 69 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-08-20
- PRyne Nelson60-Day IL· 56 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-06-16
- LFTommy Troy10-Day IL· 45 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-12
- PZac Gallen60-Day IL· 44 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-09
- PRyan Thompson15-Day IL· 42 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-08-05
- LFLourdes Gurriel Jr.10-Day IL· 26 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-07-18
- PDrey Jameson15-Day IL· 24 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-07-20
- PA.J. Puk60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PAndrew Saalfrank60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PBlake Walston60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PCorbin Burnes60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PCristian Mena60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Top Offensive Performers
- CubsIan Happ1-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI
- CubsMichael Busch2-3 · 1 2B · 1 RBI
- CubsSeiya Suzuki2-4 · 1 2B
- D-backsGeraldo Perdomo2-3 · 2 RBI
- D-backsGabriel Moreno1-3 · 1 2B · 1 RBI
Chicago Cubs holds a 11.7-pt model edge (Arizona Diamondbacks 59.5 vs Chicago Cubs 71.2). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
D-backs lead 2–1Cubs
WLL
D-backs
LWW