Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
NyxAetherBaseball

Matchup Scorecard — New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians

Carlos Rodón vs Parker Messick
Edge: New York Yankees +5.9LOWNew York Yankees lineup holds the matchup edge (+5.91). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. Lineups shown as confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Carlos Rodón vs Cleveland Guardians lineup

vs Carlos Rodón · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Patrick Bailey0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
1Angel Martínez4.000.000.09425.0%ChangeupPitcher edge40%SMALL
2José Ramírez4.250.500.56125.0%ChangeupCurveballNeutral40%SMALL
3Rhys Hoskins4.000.750.5370.0%ChangeupSliderNeutral40%SMALL
3Chase DeLauter0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
4David Fry4.000.000.000100.0%ChangeupPitcher edge40%SMALL
4Kyle Manzardo0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
5Travis Bazzana4.000.000.01225.0%ChangeupPitcher edge40%SMALL
6Stuart Fairchild21.0002.000.5560.0%ChangeupSinkerNeutral20%TINY
7Daniel Schneemann0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
7Steven Kwan4.000.000.35050.0%Changeup4-Seam FastballPitcher edge40%SMALL
8Austin Hedges2.000.000.1660.0%Changeup4-Seam FastballPitcher edge20%TINY
9Brayan Rocchio2.000.000.1510.0%ChangeupCurveballPitcher edge20%TINY

Parker Messick vs New York Yankees lineup

vs Parker Messick · lineup: confirmed_lineup

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Paul Goldschmidt0Changeup4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
2Ben Rice0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
3Cody Bellinger0ChangeupSinkerNeutral20%TINY
4Amed Rosario0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
5Trent Grisham0Changeup4-Seam FastballBatter edge20%TINY
6José Caballero0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
6Spencer Jones0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
7Jazz Chisholm Jr.0ChangeupSinkerNeutral20%TINY
8Anthony Volpe0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
8Ryan McMahon0ChangeupSinkerNeutral20%TINY
9Ali Sánchez0ChangeupNo data20%TINY
9J.C. Escarra0ChangeupNo data20%TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Carlos Rodón vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Parker Messick vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Brent HeadrickAustin Hedges1.701FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%SweeperMEDIUM
Brent HeadrickDavid Fry1.701FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%MEDIUM
Cade SmithSpencer Jones12.000.456FF 67%, ST 22%, FS 11%MEDIUM
Cade SmithPaul Goldschmidt13.000.754FF 67%, ST 22%, FS 11%SweeperMEDIUM
Cade SmithCody Bellinger11.020FF 67%, ST 22%, FS 11%SweeperMEDIUM
David BednarSteven Kwan1.000.612FS 60%, FF 34%, CU 6%MEDIUM
David BednarAngel Martínez2.500.548FS 60%, FF 34%, CU 6%MEDIUM
Fernando CruzChase DeLauter1.701FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%MEDIUM
Fernando CruzSteven Kwan2.000.555FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%MEDIUM
Hunter GaddisTrent Grisham3.667.314SL 45%, FF 32%, CH 23%CurveballMEDIUM
Hunter GaddisCody Bellinger22.000.636SL 45%, FF 32%, CH 23%SweeperMEDIUM
Hunter GaddisBen Rice21.000.483SL 45%, FF 32%, CH 23%MEDIUM
Ryan YarbroughTravis Bazzana2.701FF 28%, ST 27%, SI 17%MEDIUM
Ryan YarbroughKyle Manzardo2.701FF 28%, ST 27%, SI 17%MEDIUM
Brent HeadrickPatrick Bailey1.000.000FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%LOW
Brent HeadrickChase DeLauter2.500.351FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%LOW
Brent HeadrickBrayan Rocchio1.000.276FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%LOW
Brent HeadrickDaniel Schneemann1.000.000FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%LOW
Brent HeadrickStuart Fairchild1.000.000FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%CurveballLOW
Brent HeadrickRhys Hoskins1.000.003FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%Split-FingerLOW
Brent HeadrickAngel Martínez1.000.000FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%LOW
Brent HeadrickSteven Kwan2.000.255FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%LOW
Brent HeadrickKyle Manzardo1.000.000FF 56%, SL 37%, SI 8%LOW
Cade SmithJosé Caballero2.000.101FF 67%, ST 22%, FS 11%LOW
Cade SmithJazz Chisholm Jr.2.000.092FF 67%, ST 22%, FS 11%4-Seam FastballLOW
Cade SmithAnthony Volpe1.000.000FF 67%, ST 22%, FS 11%LOW
Cade SmithAli Sánchez1.000.000FF 67%, ST 22%, FS 11%LOW
David BednarPatrick Bailey1.000.000FS 60%, FF 34%, CU 6%LOW
David BednarChase DeLauter1.000.298FS 60%, FF 34%, CU 6%LOW
David BednarRhys Hoskins1.000.000FS 60%, FF 34%, CU 6%Split-FingerLOW
David BednarTravis Bazzana1.000.216FS 60%, FF 34%, CU 6%LOW
David BednarStuart Fairchild1.000.000FS 60%, FF 34%, CU 6%CurveballLOW
David BednarBrayan Rocchio1.000.040FS 60%, FF 34%, CU 6%LOW
Fernando CruzPatrick Bailey2.000.000FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%LOW
Fernando CruzKyle Manzardo3.000.580FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%LOW
Fernando CruzAngel Martínez3.000.000FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%LOW
Fernando CruzJosé Ramírez3.000.029FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%Split-FingerLOW
Fernando CruzRhys Hoskins3.000.004FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%Split-FingerLOW
Fernando CruzTravis Bazzana1.000.000FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%LOW
Fernando CruzBrayan Rocchio2.000.000FS 49%, FF 34%, SL 15%LOW

Top 3 hitter advantages

Trent Grisham vs Parker Messick
66Batter edge
Stuart Fairchild vs Carlos Rodón
58Neutral
Rhys Hoskins vs Carlos Rodón
53Neutral

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Carlos Rodón vs David Fry80
Carlos Rodón vs Angel Martínez75
Carlos Rodón vs Travis Bazzana75