Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
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New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians

Final
Progressive Field
New York Yankees8
@
Cleveland Guardians4
Bottom 9
Game data: 43m ago

Matchup Edge

high dataconf 100%
Cleveland Guardians (home)vsNew York Yankees (away)
New York Yankees edge +11.3

New York Yankees holds a 11.3-pt model edge (Cleveland Guardians 41.5 vs New York Yankees 52.7). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Cleveland Guardians (home), right value = New York Yankees (away).

58Starter58

Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.

3Batting47

Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.

14Bullpen44

Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.

41Total53

Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.

COMMAND_RISKHIGH_PRESSURE_WALK_RATE

Analysis edge — not betting advice.

Carlos Rodón

form 58
last 15 days · 301 pitches
Velo90.6
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2351
Whiff%17.4%
CSW%20.6%
xwOBA.233
K%18.9%
BB%10.8%
HardHit%23.2%
No flags

Parker Messick

form 58
last 15 days · 182 pitches
Velo89.1
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2053
Whiff%26.1%
CSW%26.4%
xwOBA.327
K%17.8%
BB%4.4%
HardHit%27.1%
No flags

Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)

Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.

Carlos Rodón · Pressure

49MEDIUM
last 15d · 39 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA3
RISP xwOBA.319
Late&Close PA0
K%20.5%
BB%12.8%
Whiff%22.7%
Shutdown/Melt2/1
Strike%60.1%
CSW%23.4%
Command riskPressure walks

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Parker Messick · Pressure

49MEDIUM
last 15d · 45 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA3
RISP xwOBA.331
Late&Close PA0
K%17.8%
BB%4.4%
Whiff%26.1%
Shutdown/Melt2/1
Strike%62.1%
CSW%26.4%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Carlos Rodón · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure3.23466.7%33.3%33.3%0.0%75
RISP8.29725.0%12.5%10.0%0.0%47
2-out RISP4.22725.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%65
Full count5.43920.0%40.0%20.0%0.0%29
After hit/walk11.63318.2%36.4%16.7%9.1%17

Parker Messick · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure3.0320.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%65
RISP9.36122.2%0.0%38.9%11.1%37
2-out RISP3.0300.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%69
Bases loaded1.0450.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%62
Full count8.43212.5%12.5%6.7%25.0%14
After hit/walk11.32618.2%0.0%29.6%27.3%43

Carlos Rodón arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball47.2%93.9236013.7%20.4%8.3%.251
Slider24.6%86.1262911.1%17.6%9.7%.240
Sinker15.3%92.622709.5%15.2%0.0%.000
Changeup11.0%85.4170831.6%27.3%18.2%.340
Curveball2.0%81.02884100.0%66.7%100.0%.000

Parker Messick arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball41.2%93.5212028.9%32.0%19.2%.108
Changeup25.8%85.7185341.7%25.5%8.3%.425
Sinker14.8%91.8199011.1%18.5%0.0%.409
Curveball10.4%78.122600.0%36.8%0.0%.313
Slider4.4%85.823030.0%0.0%0.0%1.450
Cutter1.1%91.121280.0%0.0%—.000

New York Yankees

form 47
last 7 days · 214 PA
OPS.718
AVG.233
OBP.299
SLG.420
ISO.186
HR10
K%23.4%
BB%8.4%
Runs25

Cleveland Guardians

form 3
last 7 days · 269 PA
OPS.609
AVG.207
OBP.277
SLG.332
ISO.124
HR7
K%21.9%
BB%8.6%
Runs21

New York Yankees

fatigue 100
last 3 days
Relief IP14.0
Relievers8
Pitches225
Back-to-back6
ERA1.29
WHIP1.21

Cleveland Guardians

fatigue 100
last 3 days
Relief IP12.0
Relievers8
Pitches207
Back-to-back3
ERA4.50
WHIP1.67