Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
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Matchup Scorecard — Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

Colin Rea vs Tomoyuki Sugano
Edge: Colorado Rockies +17.5LOWColorado Rockies lineup holds the matchup edge (+17.5). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. Lineups shown as confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Colin Rea vs Colorado Rockies lineup

vs Colin Rea · lineup: confirmed_lineup

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Jake McCarthy3.5001.167.5260.0%ChangeupSinkerNeutral40%SMALL
2Willi Castro3.333.667.3580.0%ChangeupSinkerBatter edge40%SMALL
3TJ Rumfield3.000.333.3710.0%Changeup—Neutral40%SMALL
4Hunter Goodman3.5002.667.8130.0%Changeup—Batter edge40%SMALL
5Troy Johnston3.3331.000.2960.0%Changeup—Batter edge40%SMALL
6Ezequiel Tovar3.3331.667.58133.3%Changeup—Batter edge40%SMALL
7Cole Carrigg3.3331.333.10033.3%Changeup—Neutral40%SMALL
8Kyle Karros3.5001.167.3330.0%Changeup—Batter edge40%SMALL
9Edouard Julien21.0002.5001.2710.0%ChangeupCurveballBatter edge20%TINY

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Chicago Cubs lineup

vs Tomoyuki Sugano · lineup: confirmed_lineup

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Pete Crow-Armstrong0————Sweeper—No data20%TINY
2Pedro Ramírez0————Sweeper—No data20%TINY
3Michael Busch0————Sweeper—No data20%TINY
4Alex Bregman0————SweeperSliderPitcher edge20%TINY
5Ian Happ0————SweeperSweeperNeutral20%TINY
6Seiya Suzuki0————Sweeper4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
7Nico Hoerner0————SweeperCutterNeutral20%TINY
8Carson Kelly0————Sweeper4-Seam FastballPitcher edge20%TINY
9Dansby Swanson0————SweeperSplit-FingerPitcher edge20%TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Colin Rea vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Tomoyuki Sugano vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Antonio SenzatelaNico Hoerner1.000.915FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%CurveballMEDIUM
Antonio SenzatelaSeiya Suzuki12.000.147FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%CurveballMEDIUM
Antonio SenzatelaIan Happ1—.701FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%Split-FingerMEDIUM
Antonio SenzatelaAlex Bregman1.000.027FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%CurveballLOW
Antonio SenzatelaMichael Busch1.000.000FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%—LOW
Antonio SenzatelaPete Crow-Armstrong0——FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%—UNKNOWN
Antonio SenzatelaDansby Swanson0——FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%SweeperUNKNOWN
Antonio SenzatelaCarson Kelly0——FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Antonio SenzatelaPedro Ramírez0——FF 38%, FC 36%, CU 11%—UNKNOWN
Blas CastañoPedro Ramírez0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%—UNKNOWN
Blas CastañoDansby Swanson0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%SweeperUNKNOWN
Blas CastañoCarson Kelly0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Blas CastañoNico Hoerner0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%CurveballUNKNOWN
Blas CastañoSeiya Suzuki0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%CurveballUNKNOWN
Blas CastañoIan Happ0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Blas CastañoAlex Bregman0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%CurveballUNKNOWN
Blas CastañoMichael Busch0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%—UNKNOWN
Blas CastañoPete Crow-Armstrong0——SI 40%, ST 24%, FC 17%—UNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarEzequiel Tovar0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%—UNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarEdouard Julien0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarKyle Karros0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%—UNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarCole Carrigg0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%—UNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarJake McCarthy0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%SweeperUNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarTroy Johnston0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%—UNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarHunter Goodman0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%—UNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarTJ Rumfield0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%—UNKNOWN
Caleb ThielbarWilli Castro0——FF 31%, SL 24%, CU 24%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Javier AssadJake McCarthy0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%SweeperUNKNOWN
Javier AssadWilli Castro0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Javier AssadTJ Rumfield0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%—UNKNOWN
Javier AssadHunter Goodman0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%—UNKNOWN
Javier AssadTroy Johnston0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%—UNKNOWN
Javier AssadEzequiel Tovar0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%—UNKNOWN
Javier AssadCole Carrigg0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%—UNKNOWN
Javier AssadKyle Karros0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%—UNKNOWN
Javier AssadEdouard Julien0——SI 40%, FF 19%, CU 11%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Keegan ThompsonPete Crow-Armstrong0——FF 28%, FC 24%, SI 20%—UNKNOWN
Keegan ThompsonDansby Swanson0——FF 28%, FC 24%, SI 20%SweeperUNKNOWN
Keegan ThompsonCarson Kelly0——FF 28%, FC 24%, SI 20%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Keegan ThompsonNico Hoerner0——FF 28%, FC 24%, SI 20%CurveballUNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Hunter Goodman vs Colin Rea
78Batter edge
Ezequiel Tovar vs Colin Rea
70Batter edge
Kyle Karros vs Colin Rea
68Batter edge

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Alex Bregman77
Tomoyuki Sugano vs Dansby Swanson62
Tomoyuki Sugano vs Carson Kelly59