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Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

Final

Coors Field

Chicago Cubs3

Colorado Rockies7

Top 9

Game data: 1h ago

Matchup Edge

high dataconf 100%

Colorado Rockies (home)vsChicago Cubs (away)

Chicago Cubs edge +1.4

Chicago Cubs holds a 1.4-pt model edge (Colorado Rockies 46.7 vs Chicago Cubs 48.1). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Colorado Rockies (home), right value = Chicago Cubs (away).

39Starter41

Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.

51Batting38

Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.

23Bullpen77

Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.

47Total48

Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.

COMMAND_RISKHIGH_PRESSURE_WALK_RATELow sampleMELTDOWN_PRONE

Analysis edge — not betting advice.

Colin Rea

form 41

last 15 days · 313 pitches

Velo89.8

Velo Δ0.0

Spin2065

Whiff%17.9%

CSW%23.6%

xwOBA.359

K%15.2%

BB%10.9%

HardHit%26.1%

No flags

Tomoyuki Sugano

form 43

last 15 days · 96 pitches

Velo88.1

Velo Δ0.0

Spin2142

Whiff%18.2%

CSW%22.9%

xwOBA.348

K%21.7%

BB%8.7%

HardHit%20.0%

Low sample

Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)

Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.

Colin Rea · Pressure

23GOOD

last 15d · 66 pressure PA · conf 100%

High-Press PA3

RISP xwOBA.432

Late&Close PA0

K%15.2%

BB%12.1%

Whiff%17.3%

Shutdown/Melt0/3

Strike%63.5%

CSW%23.9%

Command riskPressure walksMeltdown-prone

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Tomoyuki Sugano · Pressure

19LOW

last 15d · 20 pressure PA · conf 50%

High-Press PA3

RISP xwOBA.414

Late&Close PA0

K%20.0%

BB%10.0%

Whiff%13.9%

Shutdown/Melt1/2

Strike%58.0%

CSW%19.8%

No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Colin Rea · situation splits (30d)

Situation	PA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	XBH%	Score
High pressure	3	.759	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.0%	15
RISP	15	.391	20.0%	13.3%	23.8%	0.0%	32
2-out RISP	7	.518	14.3%	28.6%	28.6%	0.0%	24
Bases loaded	1	.875	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	29
Full count	10	.418	20.0%	50.0%	11.1%	0.0%	23
After hit/walk	25	.539	4.0%	16.0%	13.9%	16.0%	14

Tomoyuki Sugano · situation splits (30d)

Situation	PA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	XBH%	Score
High pressure	3	.468	33.3%	66.7%	0.0%	0.0%	19
RISP	8	.324	25.0%	12.5%	6.7%	12.5%	31
2-out RISP	7	.368	28.6%	14.3%	7.1%	14.3%	21
Full count	5	.433	20.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.0%	22
After hit/walk	8	.362	25.0%	25.0%	6.7%	12.5%	18

Colin Rea arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	CSW%	PutAway%	xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball	46.0%	93.4	2209	19.7%	30.6%	18.4%	.396
Changeup	19.8%	87.2	1467	27.6%	19.4%	9.5%	.300
Slider	11.2%	86.1	2098	0.0%	11.4%	0.0%	.331
Sinker	9.6%	92.2	2115	8.3%	20.0%	0.0%	.200
Sweeper	9.3%	83.1	2435	22.2%	20.7%	30.0%	.267
Curveball	3.2%	80.2	2337	16.7%	10.0%	0.0%	.625
Cutter	1.0%	86.8	2143	0.0%	33.3%	—	.900

Tomoyuki Sugano arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	CSW%	PutAway%	xwOBA
Split-Finger	27.1%	86.5	1401	15.4%	15.4%	10.0%	.379
Sinker	20.8%	92.8	2297	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	.208
Sweeper	19.8%	83.9	2533	28.6%	26.3%	16.7%	.250
4-Seam Fastball	15.6%	92.4	2312	14.3%	40.0%	14.3%	.400
Slider	10.4%	85.5	2543	0.0%	10.0%	0.0%	—
Cutter	4.2%	88.8	2423	0.0%	0.0%	—	1.250
Curveball	2.1%	79.8	2658	100.0%	50.0%	—	—

Chicago Cubs

form 38

last 7 days · 226 PA

OPS.695

AVG.232

OBP.300

SLG.394

ISO.163

HR7

K%22.1%

BB%8.8%

Runs19

Colorado Rockies

form 51

last 7 days · 196 PA

OPS.727

AVG.238

OBP.314

SLG.413

ISO.174

HR5

K%21.9%

BB%9.7%

Runs24

Chicago Cubs

fatigue 47

last 3 days

Relief IP9.0

Relievers4

Pitches112

Back-to-back0

ERA0.00

WHIP0.44

Colorado Rockies

fatigue 54

last 3 days

Relief IP10.0

Relievers6

Pitches197

Back-to-back0

ERA12.60

WHIP2.50