Pre
CLEStarter
Bibee
vs--Local Time
DETStarter
Anderson
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
Tigers Hold the Edge
60% to Win
The Tigers enter tonight with the deeper bullpen and the hotter lineup. NYX gives Tigers the edge on overall matchup quality.
Moderate Edge
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Prediction updated: 21h ago · Data may be staleNYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward ValidatedLineups: PendingStarters: Confirmed
Prediction stale
Why NYX Sees the Edge
- ✓Better bullpen quality
- ✓Better recent form
- ✓Better offensive production
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
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Home Advantage
Tigers home53%30–27
Guardians road50%30–30
Home Edge+3
Team Story
Tigers has been the stronger side at home this season (53%). Guardians counters with a capable starter, but Tigers looks better positioned, led by the bullpen edge and the bats.
Game Notes
- •Dillon Dingler leads the Tigers with 26 HR
- •Chase DeLauter leads the Guardians with 12 HR
- •Kevin McGonigle leads the Tigers with 125 hits
- •Chase DeLauter leads the Guardians with 105 hits
- •Kevin McGonigle ranks #19 in MLB in AVG (.286)
Guardians @ Tigers
NYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward Validated
Key Drivers
- Run Prevention+28
- Bullpen+24
- Offense+24
- Context & Health+14
- Starting Pitching+12
What Could Flip It
- •Starting Pitching is near-even and could decide it
Overall MatchupGuardiansTigers
53
72
Matchup Scorecard
55
Starting Pitching
67
61
Bullpen
85
32
Offense
56
61
Run Prevention
89
54
Context & Health
68
Home starter
Drew Anderson
ConfirmedData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Tanner Bibee
ConfirmedData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Injury Report
Guardians
2 on the IL- PSlade Cecconi15-Day IL· 57 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-08-07
- PShawn Armstrong60-Day IL· 41 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-25
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Tigers
12 on the IL- PJack Flaherty15-Day IL· 76 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-07-21
- PBurch Smith60-Day IL· 70 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-05-22
- PWill Vest60-Day IL· 63 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-06-28
- CFParker Meadows60-Day IL· 59 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-04-10
- RFKerry Carpenter10-Day IL· 49 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-27
- CFMatt Vierling10-Day IL· 35 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-07-30
- PBrant Hurter60-Day IL· 33 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-05-23
- RFWenceel Pérez60-Day IL· 30 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-06-17
- PBailey Horn60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PJustin Verlander60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PReese Olson60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- SSTrey Sweeney60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Detroit Tigers holds a 20.1-pt model edge (Detroit Tigers 66.5 vs Cleveland Guardians 46.5). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Limited recent H2H historyGuardians
WW
Tigers
LL
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