Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
NyxAetherBaseball

Matchup Scorecard — Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals

MacKenzie Gore vs Seth Lugo
Edge: Kansas City Royals +4.0LOWKansas City Royals lineup holds the matchup edge (+4.02). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. Lineups shown as confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

MacKenzie Gore vs Kansas City Royals lineup

vs MacKenzie Gore · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Carter Jensen0SliderNo data20%TINY
2Bobby Witt Jr.3.000.000.4670.0%SliderCutterNeutral40%SMALL
3Maikel Garcia3.6671.333.43433.3%SliderCurveballBatter edge40%SMALL
4Vinnie Pasquantino3.5001.167.4060.0%SliderBatter edge40%SMALL
5Salvador Perez3.3331.000.3570.0%SliderSinkerPitcher edge40%SMALL
6Jac Caglianone2.000.000.01150.0%SliderPitcher edge20%TINY
7Michael Massey0SliderNo data20%TINY
8Isaac Collins0SliderNo data20%TINY
9Tyler Tolbert0SliderNo data20%TINY

Seth Lugo vs Texas Rangers lineup

vs Seth Lugo · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Joc Pederson3.000.000.00666.7%SweeperSinkerNeutral40%SMALL
2Corey Seager0SweeperSliderPitcher edge20%TINY
3Josh Jung3.3331.667.2290.0%SweeperCutterNeutral40%SMALL
4Brandon Nimmo3.000.000.57633.3%SweeperCutterPitcher edge40%SMALL
5Wyatt Langford0SweeperNo data20%TINY
6Ezequiel Duran3.000.000.03233.3%SweeperCurveballPitcher edge40%SMALL
7Jake Burger3.333.667.10066.7%SweeperCutterPitcher edge40%SMALL
8Evan Carter0SweeperNo data20%TINY
9Kyle Higashioka0SweeperSinkerNeutral20%TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

MacKenzie Gore vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Seth Lugo vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Alex LangeJosh Jung12.000.734SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%CurveballMEDIUM
Daniel Lynch IVEzequiel Duran1.701CH 30%, FF 21%, SL 18%MEDIUM
Daniel Lynch IVJake Burger13.000.637CH 30%, FF 21%, SL 18%SinkerMEDIUM
Jalen BeeksJac Caglianone12.000.878CH 50%, FF 46%, FC 4%MEDIUM
Jalen BeeksBobby Witt Jr.1.000.357CH 50%, FF 46%, FC 4%MEDIUM
Jalen BeeksCarter Jensen12.000.543CH 50%, FF 46%, FC 4%MEDIUM
Jalen BeeksMichael Massey12.000.181CH 50%, FF 46%, FC 4%MEDIUM
Lucas ErcegJosh Jung12.000.562SL 37%, SI 30%, FF 18%CurveballMEDIUM
Lucas ErcegEzequiel Duran12.000.692SL 37%, SI 30%, FF 18%MEDIUM
Lucas ErcegJake Burger12.000.424SL 37%, SI 30%, FF 18%SinkerMEDIUM
Lucas ErcegJoc Pederson15.000.969SL 37%, SI 30%, FF 18%CurveballMEDIUM
Lucas ErcegBrandon Nimmo12.000.109SL 37%, SI 30%, FF 18%SweeperMEDIUM
Peyton GrayVinnie Pasquantino21.000.422CH 49%, FF 42%, SL 9%MEDIUM
Steven CruzJosh Jung1.701FF 69%, FC 28%, SL 4%CurveballMEDIUM
Alex LangeJoc Pederson1.000.112SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%CurveballLOW
Daniel Lynch IVBrandon Nimmo1.000.100CH 30%, FF 21%, SL 18%SweeperLOW
Jalen BeeksIsaac Collins1.000.349CH 50%, FF 46%, FC 4%LOW
Peyton GrayJac Caglianone1.000.000CH 49%, FF 42%, SL 9%LOW
Peyton GrayTyler Tolbert1.000.000CH 49%, FF 42%, SL 9%LOW
Peyton GrayBobby Witt Jr.1.000CH 49%, FF 42%, SL 9%LOW
Peyton GraySalvador Perez1.000.000CH 49%, FF 42%, SL 9%ChangeupLOW
Steven CruzBrandon Nimmo1.000.000FF 69%, FC 28%, SL 4%SweeperLOW
Steven CruzJoc Pederson2.000.184FF 69%, FC 28%, SL 4%CurveballLOW
Steven CruzEvan Carter1.000.000FF 69%, FC 28%, SL 4%LOW
Alex LangeCorey Seager0SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
Alex LangeEzequiel Duran0SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%UNKNOWN
Alex LangeJake Burger0SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%SinkerUNKNOWN
Alex LangeEvan Carter0SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%UNKNOWN
Alex LangeKyle Higashioka0SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%CurveballUNKNOWN
Alex LangeWyatt Langford0SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%UNKNOWN
Alex LangeBrandon Nimmo0SL 35%, CH 28%, SI 23%SweeperUNKNOWN
Beck WayCorey Seager0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
Beck WayBrandon Nimmo0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%SweeperUNKNOWN
Beck WayWyatt Langford0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%UNKNOWN
Beck WayEzequiel Duran0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%UNKNOWN
Beck WayJake Burger0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%SinkerUNKNOWN
Beck WayEvan Carter0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%UNKNOWN
Beck WayKyle Higashioka0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%CurveballUNKNOWN
Beck WayJoc Pederson0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%CurveballUNKNOWN
Beck WayJosh Jung0FC 39%, SI 29%, FF 25%CurveballUNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Vinnie Pasquantino vs MacKenzie Gore
74Batter edge
Maikel Garcia vs MacKenzie Gore
67Batter edge
Josh Jung vs Seth Lugo
52Neutral

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Seth Lugo vs Jake Burger68
MacKenzie Gore vs Jac Caglianone67
Seth Lugo vs Corey Seager60