Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
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Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals

Pre
Kauffman Stadium
Texas Rangers0
@
Kansas City Royals0
Top 1
Game data: 40m ago

Matchup Edge

high dataconf 100%
Kansas City Royals (home)vsTexas Rangers (away)
Kansas City Royals edge +0.1

Kansas City Royals holds a 0.1-pt model edge (Kansas City Royals 54.6 vs Texas Rangers 54.5). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Kansas City Royals (home), right value = Texas Rangers (away).

41Starter49

Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.

59Batting41

Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.

50Bullpen82

Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.

55Total55

Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.

No flags

Analysis edge — not betting advice.

MacKenzie Gore

form 49
last 15 days · 199 pitches
Velo90.4
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2147
Whiff%18.3%
CSW%27.6%
xwOBA.346
K%16.0%
BB%8.0%
HardHit%26.5%
No flags

Seth Lugo

form 41
last 15 days · 182 pitches
Velo85.0
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2582
Whiff%20.8%
CSW%26.4%
xwOBA.399
K%20.8%
BB%2.1%
HardHit%22.9%
No flags

Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)

Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.

MacKenzie Gore · Pressure

44MEDIUM
last 15d · 44 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA3
RISP xwOBA.365
Late&Close PA0
K%18.2%
BB%9.1%
Whiff%19.5%
Shutdown/Melt2/1
Strike%66.9%
CSW%27.8%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Seth Lugo · Pressure

54MEDIUM
last 15d · 48 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA2
RISP xwOBA.351
Late&Close PA0
K%20.8%
BB%2.1%
Whiff%20.8%
Shutdown/Melt2/0
Strike%68.1%
CSW%26.4%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

MacKenzie Gore · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure3.4280.0%33.3%0.0%0.0%34
RISP13.34823.1%7.7%23.1%15.4%50
2-out RISP8.40325.0%12.5%23.1%12.5%37
Bases loaded1.0280.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%77
Full count4.7010.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%15
After hit/walk16.42412.5%12.5%17.2%18.8%32

Seth Lugo · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure2.16850.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%88
RISP10.18030.0%0.0%28.6%0.0%88
2-out RISP6.16150.0%0.0%29.4%0.0%83
Full count6.2770.0%16.7%0.0%0.0%55
After hit/walk14.33921.4%0.0%26.7%7.1%67

MacKenzie Gore arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball44.7%95.6222017.9%32.6%15.8%.305
Curveball22.1%82.0225015.8%25.0%6.7%.471
Slider11.6%85.7202725.0%39.1%28.6%.250
Cutter8.0%89.8193220.0%18.8%50.0%.537
Sinker7.0%95.4209822.2%14.3%0.0%.000
Changeup6.5%86.518300.0%7.7%0.0%.300

Seth Lugo arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball17.6%92.022960.0%21.9%0.0%.360
Sinker17.6%91.7237425.0%37.5%28.6%.563
Sweeper14.8%79.9292533.3%40.7%25.0%.275
Curveball13.7%77.032048.3%16.0%0.0%.414
Slider11.0%84.1276430.8%25.0%0.0%.313
Cutter9.9%89.3236121.4%22.2%28.6%.450
Changeup7.7%85.4177133.3%28.6%0.0%.400
Slow Curve5.0%70.2261720.0%11.1%0.0%.450
Slurve2.8%78.830560.0%0.0%0.0%.300

Texas Rangers

form 41
last 7 days · 177 PA
OPS.702
AVG.239
OBP.291
SLG.411
ISO.172
HR6
K%19.2%
BB%6.8%
Runs19

Kansas City Royals

form 59
last 7 days · 235 PA
OPS.747
AVG.261
OBP.332
SLG.415
ISO.155
HR7
K%20.4%
BB%9.4%
Runs30

Texas Rangers

fatigue 18
last 3 days
Relief IP5.3
Relievers6
Pitches73
Back-to-back0
ERA1.69
WHIP1.31

Kansas City Royals

fatigue 31
last 3 days
Relief IP7.0
Relievers7
Pitches99
Back-to-back0
ERA6.43
WHIP1.14