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Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels

Final

Angel Stadium

Houston Astros1

Los Angeles Angels10

Top 9

Game data: 1h ago

Matchup Edge

high dataconf 100%

Los Angeles Angels (home)vsHouston Astros (away)

Los Angeles Angels edge +3.8

Los Angeles Angels holds a 3.8-pt model edge (Los Angeles Angels 60.7 vs Houston Astros 56.8). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Los Angeles Angels (home), right value = Houston Astros (away).

67Starter42

Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.

38Batting70

Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.

64Bullpen81

Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.

61Total57

Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.

COMMAND_RISKHIGH_PRESSURE_WALK_RATEWalk risk

Analysis edge — not betting advice.

Kai-Wei Teng

form 46

last 15 days · 178 pitches

Velo88.1

Velo Δ0.0

Spin2469

Whiff%25.8%

CSW%25.8%

xwOBA.390

K%17.8%

BB%13.3%

HardHit%19.7%

Walk risk

Walbert Ureña

form 71

last 15 days · 209 pitches

Velo93.9

Velo Δ0.0

Spin2148

Whiff%30.0%

CSW%31.6%

xwOBA.320

K%26.4%

BB%13.2%

HardHit%21.3%

Walk risk

Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)

Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.

Kai-Wei Teng · Pressure

35MEDIUM

last 15d · 45 pressure PA · conf 75%

High-Press PA1

RISP xwOBA.329

Late&Close PA0

K%17.8%

BB%13.3%

Whiff%25.8%

Shutdown/Melt0/1

Strike%62.9%

CSW%25.8%

Command riskPressure walks

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Walbert Ureña · Pressure

49MEDIUM

last 15d · 46 pressure PA · conf 75%

High-Press PA2

RISP xwOBA.296

Late&Close PA0

K%26.1%

BB%15.2%

Whiff%29.1%

Shutdown/Melt1/1

Strike%61.3%

CSW%30.4%

Command riskPressure walks

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Kai-Wei Teng · situation splits (30d)

Situation	PA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	XBH%	Score
High pressure	1	.701	0.0%	100.0%	—	0.0%	15
RISP	7	.142	0.0%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	78
2-out RISP	3	.177	0.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	78
Full count	3	.468	33.3%	66.7%	100.0%	0.0%	31
After hit/walk	15	.411	6.7%	6.7%	17.9%	13.3%	23

Walbert Ureña · situation splits (30d)

Situation	PA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Whiff%	XBH%	Score
High pressure	2	.330	50.0%	0.0%	0.0%	50.0%	49
RISP	11	.238	36.4%	9.1%	38.1%	9.1%	66
2-out RISP	6	.411	16.7%	16.7%	11.1%	16.7%	14
Full count	9	.463	33.3%	55.6%	33.3%	11.1%	26
After hit/walk	16	.188	43.8%	6.3%	37.0%	12.5%	69

Kai-Wei Teng arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	CSW%	PutAway%	xwOBA
Sweeper	32.0%	84.5	2735	31.4%	29.8%	23.8%	.341
4-Seam Fastball	20.8%	93.6	2502	5.9%	27.0%	0.0%	.744
Sinker	19.7%	93.0	2427	25.0%	31.4%	100.0%	.244
Changeup	13.5%	86.6	1696	38.5%	20.8%	0.0%	.233
Curveball	12.4%	82.0	2610	28.6%	13.6%	0.0%	.000
Slider	1.7%	86.0	2677	0.0%	0.0%	—	.700

Walbert Ureña arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	CSW%	PutAway%	xwOBA
Sinker	33.5%	97.6	2168	24.2%	32.9%	18.2%	.420
4-Seam Fastball	24.4%	97.4	2248	22.7%	27.5%	15.8%	.279
Changeup	23.9%	90.7	1713	40.9%	36.0%	20.0%	.239
Sweeper	18.2%	86.7	2550	38.5%	28.9%	26.7%	.179

Houston Astros

form 70

last 7 days · 271 PA

OPS.776

AVG.258

OBP.338

SLG.438

ISO.179

HR7

K%25.8%

BB%10.7%

Runs41

Los Angeles Angels

form 38

last 7 days · 230 PA

OPS.696

AVG.250

OBP.307

SLG.389

ISO.139

HR5

K%26.5%

BB%7.4%

Runs32

Houston Astros

fatigue 39

last 3 days

Relief IP8.0

Relievers6

Pitches110

Back-to-back0

ERA1.12

WHIP0.62

Los Angeles Angels

fatigue 70

last 3 days

Relief IP15.3

Relievers9

Pitches276

Back-to-back0

ERA1.17

WHIP1.04