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| Implied probability | Angels (Home) | Guardians (Away) | Home | Away | Probability difference | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYX model | 47.7% | 52.3% | — | — | — | — |
| Market ConsensusMedian of 4 sources · range 0.3 pp | 43.6% | 56.4% | — | — | +4.1 pp | Updated 1h agoAging |
| DraftKings | 43.5% | 56.5% | +126 | -135 | +4.2 pp | Updated 1h agoAging |
| FanDuel | 43.8% | 56.2% | +124 | -134 | +3.9 pp | Updated 1h agoAging |
| KalshiPrediction marketNot shown — data-source review pending | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NYX higher than market·+4.1 pp
NYX is 4.1 percentage points higher on the Angels than the current market consensus.
Implied probabilities are derived from each source's listed prices with the built-in margin removed, so the two sides of a game sum to 100%. Differences are shown in percentage points versus the pre-computed multi-source consensus. Informational comparison only — this is not advice.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators.
Line score not available yet.
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
52% to Win
The Guardians enter tonight with an opponent missing key regulars and the stronger starting-pitching matchup. The Angels hold home-field advantage, leaving NYX to call it essentially even.
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Angels also brings
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
Home Advantage
Guardians has handled the road well this season (53%). Angels brings real power upside at the plate, but Guardians looks better positioned, led by pitching depth.
Key Drivers
Cleveland Guardians holds a 9.5-pt model edge (Los Angeles Angels 54.1 vs Cleveland Guardians 63.6). Confidence 64% (medium data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
What Could Flip It
Home starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Still gathering — this fills in as the season progresses.