Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
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Matchup Scorecard — Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

Ryne Nelson vs Ryan Gusto
Edge: Miami Marlins +4.8LOWMiami Marlins lineup holds the matchup edge (+4.76). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. Lineups shown as confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Ryne Nelson vs Miami Marlins lineup

vs Ryne Nelson · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Liam Hicks0————Cutter—No data20%TINY
2Otto Lopez0————CutterSinkerBatter edge20%TINY
3Kyle Stowers0————Cutter4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
4Xavier Edwards0————Cutter4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
5Javier Sanoja0————Cutter—No data20%TINY
6Esteury Ruiz0————Cutter4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
7Jakob Marsee0————Cutter—No data20%TINY
8Joe Mack0————Cutter—No data20%TINY
9Connor Norby0————Cutter—No data20%TINY

Ryan Gusto vs Arizona Diamondbacks lineup

vs Ryan Gusto · lineup: confirmed_lineup

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Ketel Marte0————SliderCurveballNeutral20%TINY
2Corbin Carroll0————Slider—No data20%TINY
3Gabriel Moreno0————SliderChangeupBatter edge20%TINY
4Nolan Arenado0————SliderCutterPitcher edge20%TINY
5Pavin Smith0————SliderCurveballNeutral20%TINY
6Geraldo Perdomo0————SliderSweeperBatter edge20%TINY
7Ildemaro Vargas0————SliderSinkerPitcher edge20%TINY
8Ryan Waldschmidt0————Slider—No data20%TINY
8LuJames Groover0————Slider—No data20%TINY
9Tommy Troy0————Slider—No data20%TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Ryne Nelson vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Ryan Gusto vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Adrian Del CastilloLiam Hicks0——SL 56%, CU 44%—UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloConnor Norby0——SL 56%, CU 44%—UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloJoe Mack0——SL 56%, CU 44%—UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloJakob Marsee0——SL 56%, CU 44%—UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloEsteury Ruiz0——SL 56%, CU 44%CutterUNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloJavier Sanoja0——SL 56%, CU 44%—UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloXavier Edwards0——SL 56%, CU 44%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloKyle Stowers0——SL 56%, CU 44%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloOtto Lopez0——SL 56%, CU 44%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaLiam Hicks0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%—UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaConnor Norby0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%—UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaJoe Mack0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%—UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaJakob Marsee0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%—UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaEsteury Ruiz0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%CutterUNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaJavier Sanoja0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%—UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaXavier Edwards0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaKyle Stowers0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaOtto Lopez0——SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherRyan Waldschmidt0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%—UNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherTommy Troy0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%—UNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherLuJames Groover0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%—UNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherKetel Marte0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherCorbin Carroll0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%—UNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherGabriel Moreno0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%SliderUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherNolan Arenado0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%CurveballUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherPavin Smith0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%SliderUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherGeraldo Perdomo0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherIldemaro Vargas0——FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonXavier Edwards0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonOtto Lopez0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonLiam Hicks0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%—UNKNOWN
Drey JamesonConnor Norby0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonJoe Mack0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%—UNKNOWN
Drey JamesonJakob Marsee0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%—UNKNOWN
Drey JamesonEsteury Ruiz0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%CutterUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonJavier Sanoja0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%—UNKNOWN
Drey JamesonKyle Stowers0——CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
John KingLuJames Groover0——SI 40%, CH 17%, SL 17%—UNKNOWN
John KingKetel Marte0——SI 40%, CH 17%, SL 17%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
John KingCorbin Carroll0——SI 40%, CH 17%, SL 17%—UNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Gabriel Moreno vs Ryan Gusto
77Batter edge
Otto Lopez vs Ryne Nelson
65Batter edge
Geraldo Perdomo vs Ryan Gusto
60Batter edge

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Ryan Gusto vs Ildemaro Vargas64
Ryan Gusto vs Nolan Arenado61
Ryan Gusto vs Pavin Smith57