Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
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Matchup Scorecard — Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

Ryne Nelson vs Ryan Gusto
Edge: Miami Marlins +4.8LOWMiami Marlins lineup holds the matchup edge (+4.76). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. Lineups shown as confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Ryne Nelson vs Miami Marlins lineup

vs Ryne Nelson · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Liam Hicks0CutterNo data20%TINY
2Otto Lopez0CutterSinkerBatter edge20%TINY
3Kyle Stowers0Cutter4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
4Xavier Edwards0Cutter4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
5Javier Sanoja0CutterNo data20%TINY
6Esteury Ruiz0Cutter4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
7Jakob Marsee0CutterNo data20%TINY
8Joe Mack0CutterNo data20%TINY
9Connor Norby0CutterNo data20%TINY

Ryan Gusto vs Arizona Diamondbacks lineup

vs Ryan Gusto · lineup: confirmed_lineup

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Ketel Marte0SliderCurveballNeutral20%TINY
2Corbin Carroll0SliderNo data20%TINY
3Gabriel Moreno0SliderChangeupBatter edge20%TINY
4Nolan Arenado0SliderCutterPitcher edge20%TINY
5Pavin Smith0SliderCurveballNeutral20%TINY
6Geraldo Perdomo0SliderSweeperBatter edge20%TINY
7Ildemaro Vargas0SliderSinkerPitcher edge20%TINY
8Ryan Waldschmidt0SliderNo data20%TINY
8LuJames Groover0SliderNo data20%TINY
9Tommy Troy0SliderNo data20%TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Ryne Nelson vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Ryan Gusto vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Adrian Del CastilloLiam Hicks0SL 56%, CU 44%UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloConnor Norby0SL 56%, CU 44%UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloJoe Mack0SL 56%, CU 44%UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloJakob Marsee0SL 56%, CU 44%UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloEsteury Ruiz0SL 56%, CU 44%CutterUNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloJavier Sanoja0SL 56%, CU 44%UNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloXavier Edwards0SL 56%, CU 44%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloKyle Stowers0SL 56%, CU 44%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Adrian Del CastilloOtto Lopez0SL 56%, CU 44%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaLiam Hicks0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaConnor Norby0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaJoe Mack0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaJakob Marsee0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaEsteury Ruiz0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%CutterUNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaJavier Sanoja0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%UNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaXavier Edwards0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaKyle Stowers0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Brandyn GarciaOtto Lopez0SI 75%, ST 19%, SL 6%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherRyan Waldschmidt0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%UNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherTommy Troy0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%UNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherLuJames Groover0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%UNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherKetel Marte0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherCorbin Carroll0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%UNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherGabriel Moreno0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%SliderUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherNolan Arenado0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%CurveballUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherPavin Smith0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%SliderUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherGeraldo Perdomo0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Calvin FaucherIldemaro Vargas0FC 34%, ST 23%, SI 20%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonXavier Edwards0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonOtto Lopez0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonLiam Hicks0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%UNKNOWN
Drey JamesonConnor Norby0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonJoe Mack0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%UNKNOWN
Drey JamesonJakob Marsee0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%UNKNOWN
Drey JamesonEsteury Ruiz0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%CutterUNKNOWN
Drey JamesonJavier Sanoja0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%UNKNOWN
Drey JamesonKyle Stowers0CH 31%, SL 23%, FF 19%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
John KingLuJames Groover0SI 40%, CH 17%, SL 17%UNKNOWN
John KingKetel Marte0SI 40%, CH 17%, SL 17%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
John KingCorbin Carroll0SI 40%, CH 17%, SL 17%UNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Gabriel Moreno vs Ryan Gusto
77Batter edge
Otto Lopez vs Ryne Nelson
65Batter edge
Geraldo Perdomo vs Ryan Gusto
60Batter edge

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Ryan Gusto vs Ildemaro Vargas64
Ryan Gusto vs Nolan Arenado61
Ryan Gusto vs Pavin Smith57