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No market quotes are stored for this game yet. This section fills in once market data collection is running — nothing is estimated in the meantime.
Implied probabilities are derived from each source's listed prices with the built-in margin removed, so the two sides of a game sum to 100%. Differences are shown in percentage points versus the pre-computed multi-source consensus. Informational comparison only — this is not advice.
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Final
Line score not available yet.
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Marlins won · Angels 3, Marlins 12
Pregame edge
Marlins · held up
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
52% to Win
The Marlins enter tonight with an opponent missing key regulars and a strong home-field edge. The Angels counter with a strong starter, leaving NYX to call it essentially even.
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Angels also brings
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins
NYX had the Miami Marlins (58%), and they won 12–3 — their offense delivered; the v2.2 engine credited starting pitching most (+10.6 pp).
Biggest factors
Runs 12–3 · Hits 14–7 · Errors 2–2Home Advantage
Marlins has been the stronger side at home this season (60%). Angels counters with a capable starter, but Marlins enters with the edge on the bats and home context.
Key Drivers
What Could Flip It
Home starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Each factor shows the model’s pre-game lean (bar), what the box score said happened (chip: delivered / backfired / overcame), and — when a v2.2 snapshot exists — its win-probability weight (pp toward the pick). Home Field & Health have no box-score actual. Model home win 56%. The pp values reconcile to the edge alongside a +1.5 pp home-field baseline.
Pre-game lean · box-score result · v2.2 win-prob attribution. Read-only review — it explains the existing prediction, it does not change it.
Los Angeles Angels holds a 9.4-pt model edge (Miami Marlins 37.1 vs Los Angeles Angels 46.5). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Marlins lead 2–1Oldest → most recent · completed MLB games
Still gathering — this fills in as the season progresses.