St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Mets
PreMatchup Edge
St. Louis Cardinals holds a 4.5-pt model edge (New York Mets 63.4 vs St. Louis Cardinals 67.9). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = New York Mets (home), right value = St. Louis Cardinals (away).
Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.
Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.
Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.
Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.
Analysis edge — not betting advice.
Andre Pallante
form 44Austin Warren
form 79Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)
Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.
Andre Pallante · Pressure
Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.
Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.
Andre Pallante · situation splits (30d)
| Situation | PA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | XBH% | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High pressure | 2 | .079 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 90 |
| RISP | 13 | .329 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 54 |
| 2-out RISP | 7 | .522 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 23 |
| Full count | 6 | .517 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 18 |
| After hit/walk | 15 | .343 | 33.3% | 6.7% | 24.1% | 6.7% | 58 |
Austin Warren · situation splits (30d)
| Situation | PA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | XBH% | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High pressure | 11 | .356 | 18.2% | 0.0% | 34.8% | 9.1% | 57 |
| RISP | 6 | .138 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 92 |
| 2-out RISP | 2 | .124 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 77 |
| Late & close | 11 | .356 | 18.2% | 0.0% | 34.8% | 9.1% | 57 |
| Full count | 3 | .530 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21 |
| After hit/walk | 4 | .337 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 25.0% | 47 |
Andre Pallante arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Spin | Whiff% | CSW% | PutAway% | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.1% | 88.9 | 2337 | 16.7% | 26.2% | 12.0% | .308 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 27.5% | 95.7 | 2242 | 20.0% | 38.6% | 28.6% | .400 |
| Sinker | 20.0% | 96.3 | 2126 | 11.8% | 25.0% | 0.0% | .478 |
| Knuckle Curve | 13.8% | 78.9 | 2793 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 9.1% | .320 |
| Split-Finger | 0.6% | 89.4 | 945 | — | 0.0% | — | — |
Austin Warren arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Spin | Whiff% | CSW% | PutAway% | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 53.8% | 85.2 | 2778 | 30.0% | 37.2% | 25.0% | .082 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 18.8% | 93.8 | 2407 | 37.5% | 26.7% | 14.3% | .000 |
| Sinker | 15.0% | 94.0 | 2219 | 0.0% | 41.7% | 0.0% | .675 |
| Curveball | 11.3% | 84.1 | 2694 | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% | .533 |
| Cutter | 1.3% | 87.1 | 2491 | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | — |