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No market quotes are stored for this game yet. This section fills in once market data collection is running — nothing is estimated in the meantime.
Implied probabilities are derived from each source's listed prices with the built-in margin removed, so the two sides of a game sum to 100%. Differences are shown in percentage points versus the pre-computed multi-source consensus. Informational comparison only — this is not advice.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators.
Final
Line score not available yet.
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Braves won · Braves 2, Yankees 1
Pregame edge
Yankees · missed
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
52% to Win
The Yankees enter tonight with the stronger starting-pitching matchup and the deeper bullpen. The Braves are swinging hot bats, leaving NYX to call it essentially even.
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Braves also brings
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees
NYX favored the New York Yankees (53%), but Atlanta Braves won 2–1 — their starting pitching didn't hold up. A surprising result — more than 71% of comparable v2.2 finals.
Biggest factors
Runs 1–2 · Hits 4–4 · Errors 1–0Home Advantage
Yankees has been the stronger side at home this season (53%). Braves brings real power upside at the plate, but Yankees holds the stronger overall profile.
Key Drivers
What Could Flip It
Home starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Each factor shows the model’s pre-game lean (bar), what the box score said happened (chip: delivered / backfired / overcame), and — when a v2.2 snapshot exists — its win-probability weight (pp toward the pick). Home Field & Health have no box-score actual. Model home win 52%. The pp values reconcile to the edge alongside a +1.5 pp home-field baseline.
Pre-game lean · box-score result · v2.2 win-prob attribution. Read-only review — it explains the existing prediction, it does not change it.
New York Yankees holds a 14.2-pt model edge (New York Yankees 62.7 vs Atlanta Braves 48.5). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Yankees lead 2–1Oldest → most recent · completed MLB games
Still gathering — this fills in as the season progresses.