Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
NyxAetherBaseball

Matchup Scorecard — Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Shohei Ohtani vs Jared Jones
Edge: Los Angeles Dodgers +18.6LOWLos Angeles Dodgers lineup holds the matchup edge (+18.63). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. Lineups shown as confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Shohei Ohtani vs Pittsburgh Pirates lineup

vs Shohei Ohtani · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Nick Gonzales04-Seam FastballNo data20%TINY
2Endy Rodríguez04-Seam FastballNo data20%TINY
3Bryan Reynolds04-Seam FastballSinkerNeutral20%TINY
4Ryan O'Hearn04-Seam Fastball4-Seam FastballPitcher edge20%TINY
5Marcell Ozuna04-Seam FastballNo data20%TINY
6Davis Wendzel04-Seam FastballNo data20%TINY
7Jake Mangum04-Seam Fastball4-Seam FastballPitcher edge20%TINY
8Jared Triolo04-Seam FastballSinkerNeutral20%TINY
9Henry Davis04-Seam FastballNo data20%TINY

Jared Jones vs Los Angeles Dodgers lineup

vs Jared Jones · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Alex Call0Curveball4-Seam FastballPitcher edge20%TINY
1Shohei Ohtani0Curveball4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
2Andy Pages0CurveballNo data20%TINY
3Miguel Rojas0CurveballNo data20%TINY
3Freddie Freeman0Curveball4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
4Mookie Betts0CurveballChangeupNeutral20%TINY
5Max Muncy0Curveball4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
5Santiago Espinal0CurveballSliderPitcher edge20%TINY
6Kyle Tucker0CurveballCurveballNeutral20%TINY
7Ryan Ward0CurveballSliderPitcher edge20%TINY
8Dalton Rushing0CurveballNo data20%TINY
9Alex Freeland0CurveballNo data20%TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Shohei Ohtani vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Jared Jones vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Dennis SantanaKyle Tucker1.701SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%SweeperMEDIUM
Dennis SantanaSantiago Espinal12.000.877SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%4-Seam FastballMEDIUM
Dennis SantanaAlex Freeland1.701SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%MEDIUM
Dennis SantanaAlex Call1.000.196SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%CutterLOW
Dennis SantanaMookie Betts1.000.260SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%CutterLOW
Dennis SantanaRyan Ward1.000.052SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%ChangeupLOW
Dennis SantanaDalton Rushing1.000.000SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%LOW
Alex VesiaRyan O'Hearn0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%CurveballUNKNOWN
Alex VesiaBryan Reynolds0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Alex VesiaMarcell Ozuna0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%UNKNOWN
Alex VesiaDavis Wendzel0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%UNKNOWN
Alex VesiaHenry Davis0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%UNKNOWN
Alex VesiaJared Triolo0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%CutterUNKNOWN
Alex VesiaJake Mangum0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%CutterUNKNOWN
Alex VesiaEndy Rodríguez0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%UNKNOWN
Alex VesiaNick Gonzales0FF 37%, SL 35%, CH 28%UNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisDalton Rushing0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%UNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisAlex Freeland0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%UNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisFreddie Freeman0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%SweeperUNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisMookie Betts0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%CutterUNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisAndy Pages0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%UNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisShohei Ohtani0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%SweeperUNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisSantiago Espinal0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%4-Seam FastballUNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisMiguel Rojas0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisMax Muncy0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%SlurveUNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisAlex Call0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%CutterUNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisKyle Tucker0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%SweeperUNKNOWN
Brandan BidoisRyan Ward0FF 70%, SL 27%, CH 3%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Dennis SantanaMiguel Rojas0SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Dennis SantanaShohei Ohtani0SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%SweeperUNKNOWN
Dennis SantanaAndy Pages0SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%UNKNOWN
Dennis SantanaFreddie Freeman0SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%SweeperUNKNOWN
Dennis SantanaMax Muncy0SL 39%, FF 33%, CH 15%SlurveUNKNOWN
Edgardo HenriquezNick Gonzales0SI 32%, FF 31%, SL 21%UNKNOWN
Edgardo HenriquezEndy Rodríguez0SI 32%, FF 31%, SL 21%UNKNOWN
Edgardo HenriquezBryan Reynolds0SI 32%, FF 31%, SL 21%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Edgardo HenriquezRyan O'Hearn0SI 32%, FF 31%, SL 21%CurveballUNKNOWN
Edgardo HenriquezMarcell Ozuna0SI 32%, FF 31%, SL 21%UNKNOWN
Edgardo HenriquezDavis Wendzel0SI 32%, FF 31%, SL 21%UNKNOWN
Edgardo HenriquezJake Mangum0SI 32%, FF 31%, SL 21%CutterUNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Shohei Ohtani vs Jared Jones
56Neutral
Mookie Betts vs Jared Jones
52Neutral
Bryan Reynolds vs Shohei Ohtani
50Neutral

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Shohei Ohtani vs Ryan O'Hearn89
Shohei Ohtani vs Nick Gonzales83
Shohei Ohtani vs Endy Rodríguez83