Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
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Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Pre
PNC Park
Los Angeles Dodgers0
@
Pittsburgh Pirates0
Top 1
Game data: 23m ago

Matchup Edge

high dataconf 100%
Pittsburgh Pirates (home)vsLos Angeles Dodgers (away)
Los Angeles Dodgers edge +11.7

Los Angeles Dodgers holds a 11.7-pt model edge (Pittsburgh Pirates 49.9 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 61.6). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Pittsburgh Pirates (home), right value = Los Angeles Dodgers (away).

56Starter80

Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.

49Batting80

Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.

23Bullpen15

Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.

50Total62

Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.

Low sample

Analysis edge — not betting advice.

Shohei Ohtani

form 84
last 15 days · 89 pitches
Velo89.9
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2545
Whiff%25.0%
CSW%34.8%
xwOBA.142
K%30.0%
BB%5.0%
HardHit%19.2%
Low sample

Jared Jones

form 56
last 15 days · 151 pitches
Velo93.6
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2499
Whiff%32.0%
CSW%29.1%
xwOBA.371
K%23.8%
BB%9.5%
HardHit%33.3%
No flags

Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)

Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.

Shohei Ohtani · Pressure

70LOW
last 15d · 15 pressure PA · conf 50%
High-Press PA1
RISP xwOBA.271
Late&Close PA0
K%20.0%
BB%6.7%
Whiff%21.4%
Shutdown/Melt1/0
Strike%66.1%
CSW%30.6%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Jared Jones · Pressure

43MEDIUM
last 15d · 42 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA3
RISP xwOBA.370
Late&Close PA0
K%23.8%
BB%9.5%
Whiff%32.0%
Shutdown/Melt2/1
Strike%64.2%
CSW%29.1%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Shohei Ohtani · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure1.0940.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%68
RISP2.1300.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%65
2-out RISP1.0940.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%63
Full count5.15620.0%0.0%12.5%20.0%65
After hit/walk3.3920.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%39

Jared Jones · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure3.13433.3%0.0%33.3%0.0%81
RISP11.24536.4%18.2%36.4%0.0%70
2-out RISP4.13625.0%0.0%42.9%0.0%80
Bases loaded2.20250.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%81
Full count4.3950.0%50.0%0.0%0.0%25
After hit/walk15.44020.0%20.0%35.0%6.7%39

Shohei Ohtani arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball47.2%97.6245531.6%35.7%18.2%.219
Sweeper38.2%84.7270421.4%35.3%20.0%.000
Curveball11.2%75.326710.0%30.0%0.0%.000
Split-Finger3.4%89.11591—33.3%0.0%—
Sinker2.1%95.821670.0%0.0%—.350

Jared Jones arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball39.1%99.0258118.8%22.0%27.3%.393
Slider30.5%90.2268034.8%34.8%10.0%.270
Changeup17.2%93.5168045.5%30.8%37.5%.180
Curveball13.3%85.6290350.0%35.0%20.0%.625

Los Angeles Dodgers

form 80
last 7 days · 281 PA
OPS.799
AVG.285
OBP.360
SLG.439
ISO.154
HR8
K%20.3%
BB%10.3%
Runs42

Pittsburgh Pirates

form 49
last 7 days · 268 PA
OPS.724
AVG.235
OBP.322
SLG.402
ISO.167
HR9
K%24.6%
BB%11.2%
Runs35

Los Angeles Dodgers

fatigue 70
last 3 days
Relief IP12.0
Relievers8
Pitches238
Back-to-back0
ERA9.75
WHIP1.75

Pittsburgh Pirates

fatigue 54
last 3 days
Relief IP10.0
Relievers6
Pitches227
Back-to-back0
ERA8.10
WHIP2.00