Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres
LiveMatchup Edge
San Diego Padres holds a 0.5-pt model edge (San Diego Padres 41.5 vs Cincinnati Reds 41.0). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = San Diego Padres (home), right value = Cincinnati Reds (away).
Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.
Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.
Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.
Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.
Analysis edge — not betting advice.
Brady Singer
form 39Michael King
form 44Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)
Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.
Brady Singer · Pressure
Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.
Michael King · Pressure
Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.
Brady Singer · situation splits (30d)
| Situation | PA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | XBH% | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High pressure | 8 | .377 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 28 |
| RISP | 16 | .319 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 50 |
| 2-out RISP | 9 | .322 | 22.2% | 33.3% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 37 |
| Bases loaded | 1 | .049 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 62 |
| Full count | 9 | .414 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 36 |
| After hit/walk | 14 | .307 | 21.4% | 14.3% | 30.4% | 0.0% | 58 |
Michael King · situation splits (30d)
| Situation | PA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | XBH% | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High pressure | 4 | .727 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15 |
| RISP | 6 | .374 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 17 |
| 2-out RISP | 3 | .199 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 65 |
| Bases loaded | 1 | .733 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 23 |
| Late & close | 4 | .727 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15 |
| Full count | 5 | .787 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 26 |
| After hit/walk | 12 | .188 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 69 |
Brady Singer arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Spin | Whiff% | CSW% | PutAway% | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 48.1% | 91.5 | 2330 | 0.0% | 17.1% | 0.0% | .515 |
| Slider | 33.9% | 82.9 | 2430 | 40.9% | 29.0% | 15.4% | .287 |
| Cutter | 8.7% | 86.8 | 2344 | 22.2% | 31.3% | — | .000 |
| Sweeper | 8.2% | 82.0 | 2420 | 55.6% | 33.3% | 50.0% | .400 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 1.1% | 90.8 | 2364 | — | 0.0% | — | — |
Michael King arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Spin | Whiff% | CSW% | PutAway% | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 31.8% | 92.7 | 2227 | 13.6% | 33.3% | 10.0% | .373 |
| Changeup | 27.1% | 86.2 | 1855 | 17.2% | 21.7% | 0.0% | .280 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 20.6% | 94.3 | 2364 | 16.7% | 22.9% | 12.5% | .636 |
| Sweeper | 18.2% | 81.5 | 2793 | 27.3% | 22.6% | 16.7% | .000 |
| Slider | 2.4% | 84.1 | 2432 | 0.0% | 25.0% | — | .450 |