Final
HOU2–7
Final
SDLine score not available yet.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Padres won · Astros 2, Padres 7
Pregame edge
Padres · held up
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
Even Matchup
50% to Win
The Padres enter tonight with the stronger starting-pitching matchup and the hotter lineup. The Astros have a deep bullpen of their own, leaving NYX to call it essentially even.
Toss-UpProjected
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Astros also brings
- •Better bullpen quality
Prediction updated: 21h ago · Data may be staleNYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward ValidatedLineups: PendingStarters: Probable
Prediction stale
Why NYX Sees the Edge
- ✓Better starter projection
- ✓Better recent form
- ✓Better offensive production
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
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Top Offensive Performers
- PadresFernando Tatis Jr.2-5 · 1 HR · 1 2B · 3 RBI
- PadresJackson Merrill2-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
- PadresGavin Sheets1-2 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
- PadresManny Machado1-4
Prediction Review
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
Nailed it
We said: San Diego Padres 52%
Result: San Diego Padres won 7–2
NYX had the San Diego Padres (52%), and they won 7–2 — their offense delivered. A notable result — more than 44% of comparable v2.2 finals.
Surprisenotablemore surprising than 44% of v2.2 finals
Biggest factors
Runs 7–2 · Hits 12–2 · Errors 0–0Bullpen
overcame0 pp
Offense
delivered0 pp