Final
PIT1–0
Final
SDLine score not available yet.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Pirates won · Pirates 1, Padres 0
Pregame edge
Padres · missed
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
Padres Favored
The Padres enter tonight with a strong home-field edge and the deeper bullpen. NYX gives Padres the edge on overall matchup quality.
Strong Edge
Prediction updated: 59 min agoNYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward ValidatedLineups: PendingStarters: Probable
Why NYX Sees the Edge
- ✓Strong home-field advantage
- ✓Better bullpen quality
- ✓Better recent form
Home Advantage
Padres home59%41–28
Pirates road45%31–38
Home Edge+14
Team Story
Padres has been the stronger side at home this season (59%). Pirates counters with a capable starter, but Padres enters with the edge on the bats and the bullpen edge.
Game Notes
- •Manny Machado leads the Padres with 24 HR
- •Brandon Lowe leads the Pirates with 27 HR
- •Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the Padres with 147 hits
- •Nick Gonzales leads the Pirates with 145 hits
- •Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks #21 in MLB in AVG (.285)
Overall MatchupPiratesPadres
39
52
Matchup Scorecard
59
Starting Pitching
61
0
Offense
30
56
Bullpen
65
—
Defense
—
—
Health
—
45
Context
59
Home starter
Michael King
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Paul Skenes
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Injury Report
Pirates
4 on the IL- CEndy Rodríguez10-Day IL· 75 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-08-10
- RFRyan O'Hearn10-Day IL· 74 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-08-01
- SSKonnor Griffin60-Day IL· 69 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-06
- PMitch Keller60-Day IL· 50 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-08-03
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Padres
8 on the IL- PNick Pivetta60-Day IL· 83 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-04-13
- LFSamad Taylor10-Day IL· 74 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-07-08
- DHMiguel Andujar10-Day IL· 51 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-20
- PJason Adam60-Day IL· 48 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-06-30
- LFRamón Laureano60-Day IL· 46 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-05-31
- PBryan Hoeing60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PJoe Musgrove60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PLucas Giolito15-Day IL· Unknown Impact
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Top Offensive Performers
- PiratesBryan Reynolds2-4 · 1 2B
- PadresFernando Tatis Jr.1-4 · 1 2B
- PiratesNick Gonzales1-4
- PadresXander Bogaerts1-3
San Diego Padres holds a 18.2-pt model edge (San Diego Padres 57.6 vs Pittsburgh Pirates 39.3). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Pirates lead 2–1Pirates
WWL
Padres
LLW
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