Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
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Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants

Live
Oracle Park
Washington Nationals9
@
San Francisco Giants1
Bottom 7
Game data: 25m ago

Matchup Edge

high dataconf 100%
San Francisco Giants (home)vsWashington Nationals (away)
San Francisco Giants edge +13.4

San Francisco Giants holds a 13.4-pt model edge (San Francisco Giants 65.5 vs Washington Nationals 52.1). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = San Francisco Giants (home), right value = Washington Nationals (away).

48Starter61

Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.

98Batting45

Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.

50Bullpen47

Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.

66Total52

Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.

COMMAND_RISKHIGH_PRESSURE_WALK_RATEWalk riskMELTDOWN_PRONE

Analysis edge — not betting advice.

Foster Griffin

form 61
last 15 days · 152 pitches
Velo85.8
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2184
Whiff%25.7%
CSW%32.2%
xwOBA.337
K%23.7%
BB%5.3%
HardHit%31.9%
No flags

Robbie Ray

form 52
last 15 days · 386 pitches
Velo90.2
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2172
Whiff%24.2%
CSW%21.2%
xwOBA.320
K%25.0%
BB%17.5%
HardHit%14.3%
Walk risk

Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)

Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.

Foster Griffin · Pressure

52MEDIUM
last 15d · 34 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA1
RISP xwOBA.346
Late&Close PA0
K%23.5%
BB%5.9%
Whiff%25.0%
Shutdown/Melt1/0
Strike%65.9%
CSW%30.4%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Robbie Ray · Pressure

46MEDIUM
last 15d · 38 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA5
RISP xwOBA.300
Late&Close PA0
K%23.7%
BB%18.4%
Whiff%24.7%
Shutdown/Melt1/4
Strike%58.5%
CSW%21.1%
Command riskPressure walksMeltdown-prone

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Foster Griffin · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure1.000100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%87
Full count6.35433.3%33.3%25.0%0.0%50
After hit/walk10.21820.0%0.0%18.5%0.0%77

Robbie Ray · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure5.48520.0%60.0%0.0%0.0%21
RISP11.10045.5%9.1%21.9%0.0%61
2-out RISP6.17233.3%16.7%10.5%0.0%54
Full count13.29546.2%38.5%12.5%0.0%47
After hit/walk14.6810.0%50.0%22.2%14.3%17

Foster Griffin arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
Cutter28.3%88.0229615.4%25.6%11.1%.277
4-Seam Fastball22.4%91.0211920.0%35.3%7.1%.614
Sweeper15.8%79.2256516.7%25.0%11.1%.571
Sinker11.2%90.7207542.9%52.9%0.0%.000
Curveball7.9%76.9230366.7%41.7%50.0%.000
Changeup7.2%81.6184240.0%27.3%0.0%.450
Split-Finger7.2%81.4149542.9%27.3%28.6%.000

Robbie Ray arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball34.2%93.5232418.5%18.2%3.6%.304
Slider24.9%88.4225629.2%20.8%11.8%.394
Sinker17.6%93.022695.9%11.8%0.0%.417
Changeup17.1%86.7164633.3%27.3%15.8%.200
Knuckle Curve6.2%80.4216350.0%50.0%0.0%.350

Washington Nationals

form 45
last 7 days · 189 PA
OPS.712
AVG.228
OBP.299
SLG.413
ISO.186
HR8
K%20.6%
BB%9.0%
Runs26

San Francisco Giants

form 98
last 7 days · 253 PA
OPS.844
AVG.305
OBP.348
SLG.496
ISO.190
HR11
K%19.8%
BB%5.9%
Runs38

Washington Nationals

fatigue 62
last 3 days
Relief IP11.0
Relievers5
Pitches174
Back-to-back0
ERA3.27
WHIP1.55

San Francisco Giants

fatigue 47
last 3 days
Relief IP6.0
Relievers5
Pitches92
Back-to-back2
ERA4.50
WHIP1.33