Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
NyxAetherBaseball

Matchup Scorecard — Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants

Andrew Alvarez vs Adrian Houser
Edge: San Francisco Giants +1.9LOWSan Francisco Giants lineup holds the matchup edge (+1.9). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. Lineups shown as confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Andrew Alvarez vs San Francisco Giants lineup

vs Andrew Alvarez · lineup: confirmed_lineup

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Casey Schmitt3.000.000.30233.3%SliderChangeupPitcher edge40%SMALL
2Rafael Devers3.000.333.30833.3%SliderCurveballPitcher edge40%SMALL
3Luis Arraez3.6672.000.2530.0%Slider4-Seam FastballPitcher edge40%SMALL
4Willy Adames2.000.500.35150.0%Slider4-Seam FastballPitcher edge20%TINY
5Jung Hoo Lee2.5001.000.3060.0%SliderNeutral20%TINY
6Bryce Eldridge2.5001.500.1580.0%SliderNeutral20%TINY
7Matt Chapman2.7010.0%SliderChangeupBatter edge20%TINY
8Daniel Susac2.000.500.3720.0%SliderNeutral20%TINY
9Victor Bericoto0SliderNo data20%TINY

Adrian Houser vs Washington Nationals lineup

vs Adrian Houser · lineup: confirmed_lineup

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1James Wood4.5001.000.33750.0%SliderNeutral40%SMALL
2Andrés Chaparro0SliderNo data20%TINY
3Dylan Crews0SliderNo data20%TINY
4CJ Abrams4.000.000.33150.0%SliderPitcher edge40%SMALL
5Daylen Lile4.000.500.3740.0%SliderNeutral40%SMALL
6Curtis Mead0SliderNo data20%TINY
7Nasim Nuñez4.5001.500.11150.0%SliderNeutral40%SMALL
8Drew Millas4.000.000.02550.0%SliderPitcher edge40%SMALL
9Jacob Young4.5002.000.54550.0%SliderBatter edge40%SMALL

Pitch-type breakdown

Andrew Alvarez vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Adrian Houser vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Miles MikolasMatt Chapman41.000.254FF 28%, SL 27%, SI 25%SlurveHIGH
Clayton BeeterJung Hoo Lee12.000.246FF 56%, SL 44%MEDIUM
Clayton BeeterBryce Eldridge13.000.907FF 56%, SL 44%MEDIUM
Clayton BeeterMatt Chapman1.733FF 56%, SL 44%SlurveMEDIUM
Miles MikolasJung Hoo Lee22.000.230FF 28%, SL 27%, SI 25%MEDIUM
Miles MikolasBryce Eldridge4.000.479FF 28%, SL 27%, SI 25%MEDIUM
Mitchell ParkerMatt Chapman12.000.763SL 48%, FF 34%, CU 18%SlurveMEDIUM
Mitchell ParkerBryce Eldridge12.000.804SL 48%, FF 34%, CU 18%MEDIUM
Mitchell ParkerJung Hoo Lee12.000.646SL 48%, FF 34%, CU 18%MEDIUM
Mitchell ParkerLuis Arraez12.000.234SL 48%, FF 34%, CU 18%SweeperMEDIUM
Mitchell ParkerRafael Devers1.0001.586SL 48%, FF 34%, CU 18%ChangeupMEDIUM
Mitchell ParkerCasey Schmitt12.000.836SL 48%, FF 34%, CU 18%Knuckle CurveMEDIUM
Clayton BeeterCasey Schmitt1.000.170FF 56%, SL 44%Knuckle CurveLOW
Clayton BeeterWilly Adames1.000.124FF 56%, SL 44%CurveballLOW
Miles MikolasCasey Schmitt4.000.165FF 28%, SL 27%, SI 25%Knuckle CurveLOW
Miles MikolasRafael Devers4.000.000FF 28%, SL 27%, SI 25%ChangeupLOW
Miles MikolasLuis Arraez4.000.097FF 28%, SL 27%, SI 25%SweeperLOW
Miles MikolasWilly Adames4.000.002FF 28%, SL 27%, SI 25%CurveballLOW
Caleb KilianJames Wood0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Caleb KilianAndrés Chaparro0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Caleb KilianDylan Crews0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Caleb KilianCJ Abrams0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Caleb KilianDaylen Lile0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Caleb KilianCurtis Mead0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Caleb KilianNasim Nuñez0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Caleb KilianDrew Millas0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Caleb KilianJacob Young0FF 53%, KC 27%, SI 14%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourJacob Young0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourJames Wood0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourAndrés Chaparro0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourDylan Crews0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourCJ Abrams0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourDaylen Lile0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourCurtis Mead0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourNasim Nuñez0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Carson SeymourDrew Millas0SI 40%, FF 22%, FC 20%UNKNOWN
Clayton BeeterVictor Bericoto0FF 56%, SL 44%UNKNOWN
Clayton BeeterRafael Devers0FF 56%, SL 44%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Clayton BeeterLuis Arraez0FF 56%, SL 44%SweeperUNKNOWN
Clayton BeeterDaniel Susac0FF 56%, SL 44%UNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Matt Chapman vs Andrew Alvarez
68Batter edge
Jacob Young vs Adrian Houser
65Batter edge
Jung Hoo Lee vs Andrew Alvarez
57Neutral

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Adrian Houser vs Drew Millas77
Andrew Alvarez vs Casey Schmitt75
Adrian Houser vs CJ Abrams69