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No market quotes are stored for this game yet. This section fills in once market data collection is running — nothing is estimated in the meantime.
Implied probabilities are derived from each source's listed prices with the built-in margin removed, so the two sides of a game sum to 100%. Differences are shown in percentage points versus the pre-computed multi-source consensus. Informational comparison only — this is not advice.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators.
Final
Line score not available yet.
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Tigers won · Tigers 3, Giants 1
Pregame edge
Tigers · held up
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
52% to Win
The Tigers enter tonight with the stronger starting-pitching matchup and the deeper bullpen. The Giants hold home-field advantage, leaving NYX to call it essentially even.
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Giants also brings
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants
NYX had the Detroit Tigers (56%), and they won 3–1 — their offense delivered.
Biggest factors
Runs 3–1 · Hits 6–6 · Errors 1–1Home Advantage
Tigers comes in playing steady baseball lately. Giants counters with a capable starter, but Tigers looks better positioned, led by the bats and the bullpen edge.
Key Drivers
What Could Flip It
Home starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Each factor shows the model’s pre-game lean (bar), what the box score said happened (chip: delivered / backfired / overcame), and — when a v2.2 snapshot exists — its win-probability weight (pp toward the pick). Home Field & Health have no box-score actual. Model home win 47%. The pp values reconcile to the edge alongside a +1.5 pp home-field baseline.
Pre-game lean · box-score result · v2.2 win-prob attribution. Read-only review — it explains the existing prediction, it does not change it.
Detroit Tigers holds a 30.1-pt model edge (San Francisco Giants 41.5 vs Detroit Tigers 71.7). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Tigers lead 2–1Oldest → most recent · completed MLB games
Still gathering — this fills in as the season progresses.