Final
HOU6–3
Final
SFLine score not available yet.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Astros won · Astros 6, Giants 3
Pregame edge
Astros · held up
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
Even Matchup
52% to Win
The Astros enter tonight with the stronger starting-pitching matchup and the deeper bullpen. The Giants hold home-field advantage, leaving NYX to call it essentially even.
Toss-Up
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Giants also brings
- •Home field
Prediction updated: 21h ago · Data may be staleNYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward ValidatedLineups: PendingStarters: Probable
Prediction stale
Why NYX Sees the Edge
- ✓Better starter projection
- ✓Better bullpen quality
- ✓Lower bullpen fatigue
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
Home Advantage
Giants home47%27–30
Astros road51%31–30
Home Edge-3
Team Story
Astros has handled the road well this season (51%). Giants counters with a capable starter, but Astros holds the stronger overall profile.
Game Notes
- •Rafael Devers leads the Giants with 24 HR
- •Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 35 HR
- •Luis Arraez leads the Giants with 136 hits
- •Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 139 hits
- •Jung Hoo Lee ranks #10 in MLB in AVG (.300)
Astros @ Giants
NYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward Validated
Key Drivers
- Offense+30
- Bullpen+22
- Run Prevention+9
- Starting Pitching+7
What Could Flip It
- •Home & Environment is near-even and could decide it
Overall MatchupAstrosGiants
66
51
Matchup Scorecard
56
Starting Pitching
49
84
Bullpen
62
56
Offense
26
70
Run Prevention
61
60
Context & Health
60
Home starter
Blade Tidwell
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Hayden Wesneski
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Injury Report
Astros
4 on the IL- SSCarlos Correa60-Day IL· 72 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-05-05
- PMike Burrows15-Day IL· 49 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-07
- CFBrice Matthews10-Day IL· 41 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-14
- PBrandon Walter60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Giants
14 on the IL- RFVictor Bericoto10-Day IL· 74 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-07-10
- LFCasey Schmitt10-Day IL· 71 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-07-28
- 3BMatt Chapman10-Day IL· 70 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-07-01
- CJesus Rodriguez10-Day IL· 59 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-08-01
- PTrevor McDonald15-Day IL· 55 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-21
- CDaniel Susac10-Day IL· 42 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-08-10
- PMatt Gage60-Day IL· 29 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-07-04
- PJoel Peguero60-Day IL· 19 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-06-01
- CFHarrison Bader10-Day IL· 18 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-05-30
- PHayden Birdsong60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PJosé Buttó60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- 2BMarcelo Mayer10-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PRandy Rodríguez60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PRowan Wick60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Top Offensive Performers
- AstrosCam Smith3-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
- GiantsJung Hoo Lee2-5 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
- AstrosIsaac Paredes2-4 · 1 2B · 2 RBI
- AstrosYordan Alvarez2-5 · 1 2B
Houston Astros holds a 15.4-pt model edge (San Francisco Giants 36.8 vs Houston Astros 52.2). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Limited recent H2H historyAstros
W
Giants
L
Oldest → most recent · completed MLB games
Houston Astros
form 31OPS.678
AVG