Final
PHI1–4
Final
SEALine score not available yet.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Mariners won · Phillies 1, Mariners 4
Pregame edge
Phillies · missed
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
Phillies Favored
The Phillies enter tonight with the deeper bullpen and a more rested bullpen. The Mariners hold home-field advantage, but NYX still gives Phillies the edge on overall matchup quality.
Strong Edge
Mariners also brings
- •Home field
Prediction updated: 59 min agoNYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward ValidatedLineups: PendingStarters: Probable
Why NYX Sees the Edge
- ✓Better bullpen quality
- ✓Lower bullpen fatigue
- ✓Better recent form
Home Advantage
Mariners home54%37–31
Phillies road55%36–30
Home Edge+0
Team Story
Phillies has handled the road well this season (55%). Mariners counters with a capable starter, but the matchup leans Phillies on the bullpen edge and the bats.
Game Notes
- •Randy Arozarena leads the Mariners with 20 HR
- •Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 40 HR
- •Josh Naylor leads the Mariners with 131 hits
- •Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 127 hits
- •Luis Arraez ranks #2 in MLB in AVG (.318)
Overall MatchupPhilliesMariners
73
57
Matchup Scorecard
82
Starting Pitching
85
57
Offense
46
87
Bullpen
28
—
Defense
—
—
Health
—
55
Context
54
Home starter
George Kirby
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Aaron Nola
ProbableData quality: Medium
▸Show stats
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Injury Report
Phillies
7 on the IL- PCaleb Kilian15-Day IL· 78 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-08-10
- PBrad Keller60-Day IL· 63 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-13
- PTanner Banks60-Day IL· 59 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-09
- RFAdolis García60-Day IL· 42 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-06-12
- CRafael Marchán10-Day IL· 14 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-07-23
- LFFelix Reyes60-Day IL· 9 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-08-20
- CFJohan Rojas60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Mariners
9 on the IL- RFLuke Raley60-Day IL· 71 · High Impact· at injury date 2026-07-31
- SSJ.P. Crawford10-Day IL· 55 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-07-30
- PMatt Brash15-Day IL· 53 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-06-09
- PCooper Criswell60-Day IL· 52 · Medium Impact· at injury date 2026-06-09
- SSColt Emerson10-Day IL· 34 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-08-14
- PCole Wilcox15-Day IL· 32 · Low Impact· at injury date 2026-08-07
- PCarlos Vargas60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- PLogan Evans60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
- 3BWill Wilson60-Day IL· Unknown Impact
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Top Offensive Performers
- MarinersCal Raleigh1-2 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
- PhilliesBryce Harper2-4
- MarinersJosh Naylor1-4 · 1 RBI
- PhilliesBrandon Marsh1-4
- PhilliesBryson Stott1-4
Philadelphia Phillies holds a 9.6-pt model edge (Seattle Mariners 59.2 vs Philadelphia Phillies 68.8). Confidence 85% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Mariners lead 2–1Phillies
LLW
Mariners
WWL