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No market quotes are stored for this game yet. This section fills in once market data collection is running — nothing is estimated in the meantime.
Implied probabilities are derived from each source's listed prices with the built-in margin removed, so the two sides of a game sum to 100%. Differences are shown in percentage points versus the pre-computed multi-source consensus. Informational comparison only — this is not advice.
Odds and market prices are provided for informational comparison. Third-party names and trademarks belong to their respective owners. NYX AETHER is not affiliated with or endorsed by the listed operators.
Final
Line score not available yet.
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Cardinals won · Rockies 4, Cardinals 7
Pregame edge
Cardinals · held up
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
59% to Win
The Cardinals enter tonight with a strong home-field edge and the deeper bullpen. The Rockies are swinging hot bats, but NYX still gives Cardinals the edge on overall matchup quality.
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Rockies also brings
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals
NYX had the St. Louis Cardinals (60%), and they won 7–4 — their defense delivered.
Biggest factors
Runs 7–4 · Hits 14–10 · Errors 0–2Home Advantage
Cardinals carries the model's edge into this matchup. Rockies brings real power upside at the plate, but the matchup leans Cardinals on the bullpen edge and home context.
Key Drivers
What Could Flip It
Home starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Away starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Impact at injury date — the player's value as of his IL placement, frozen at that date. Context only, not predictive, not an engine input.
Each factor shows the model’s pre-game lean (bar), what the box score said happened (chip: delivered / backfired / overcame), and — when a v2.2 snapshot exists — its win-probability weight (pp toward the pick). Home Field & Health have no box-score actual. Model home win 59%. The pp values reconcile to the edge alongside a +1.5 pp home-field baseline.
Pre-game lean · box-score result · v2.2 win-prob attribution. Read-only review — it explains the existing prediction, it does not change it.
Colorado Rockies holds a 0.7-pt model edge (St. Louis Cardinals 60.5 vs Colorado Rockies 61.2). Confidence 64% (medium data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Cardinals lead 2–1Oldest → most recent · completed MLB games
Still gathering — this fills in as the season progresses.