Final
PHI6–5
Final
STLLine score not available yet.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Phillies won · Phillies 6, Cardinals 5
Pregame edge
Cardinals · missed
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
Even Matchup
52% to Win
The Cardinals enter tonight with an opponent missing key regulars and the deeper bullpen. The Phillies counter with a strong starter, leaving NYX to call it essentially even.
Toss-UpConfirmed
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Phillies also brings
- •Better starter projection
Prediction updated: 21h ago · Data may be staleNYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward ValidatedLineups: ConfirmedStarters: Probable
Prediction stale
Why NYX Sees the Edge
- ✓Opponent missing key regulars
- ✓Better bullpen quality
- ✓Better recent form
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
- Initial Read52%
- Initial Read52%
- Initial Read52%
- Initial Read52%
- Initial Read52%
- Initial Read52%
- Initial Read51%
- Initial Read51%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
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- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
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- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
- Initial Read48%
Top Offensive Performers
- CardinalsIván Herrera2-5 · 2 2B
- CardinalsAlec Burleson2-4 · 1 2B · 3 RBI
- PhilliesKyle Schwarber2-3 · 1 2B · 1 RBI
- PhilliesBryson Stott2-4
- CardinalsMasyn Winn1-4 · 1 2B · 1 RBI
Prediction Review
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals
Missed
We said: St. Louis Cardinals 50%
Result: Philadelphia Phillies won 6–5
NYX favored the St. Louis Cardinals (50%), but Philadelphia Phillies won 6–5 — their offense didn't hold up. A surprising result — more than 71% of comparable v2.2 finals.
Surprisesurprisingmore surprising than 71% of v2.2 finals
Biggest factors
Runs 5–6 · Hits 8–8 · Errors 2–0Starting Pitching
as expected0 pp
Offense
backfired