Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
NyxAetherBaseball

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

Final
Tropicana Field
Boston Red Sox5
@
Tampa Bay Rays7
Top 9
Game data: 29m ago

Matchup Edge

high dataconf 88%
Tampa Bay Rays (home)vsBoston Red Sox (away)
Tampa Bay Rays edge +22.6

Tampa Bay Rays holds a 22.6-pt model edge (Tampa Bay Rays 55.8 vs Boston Red Sox 33.1). Confidence 88% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Tampa Bay Rays (home), right value = Boston Red Sox (away).

64Starter46

Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.

18Batting6

Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.

53Bullpen28

Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.

56Total33

Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.

Low sample

Analysis edge — not betting advice.

last 15 days · 0 pitches
Velo
Velo Δ
Spin
Whiff%
CSW%
xwOBA
K%
BB%
HardHit%
Low sample
last 15 days · 157 pitches
Velo92.0
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2419
Whiff%17.9%
CSW%24.8%
xwOBA.184
K%32.5%
BB%5.0%
HardHit%15.8%
No flags

Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)

Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.

Pressure Score

No clutch-context data cached for this pitcher yet.

last 15d · 40 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA2
RISP xwOBA.238
Late&Close PA0
K%32.5%
BB%5.0%
Whiff%19.7%
Shutdown/Melt0/2
Strike%70.5%
CSW%26.6%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Jake Bennett · situation splits (30d)

No split data cached yet.

Drew Rasmussen · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure21.2700.0%50.0%0.0%50.0%5
RISP5.67520.0%20.0%0.0%40.0%6
2-out RISP2.4170.0%0.0%0.0%50.0%26
Bases loaded11.8390.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%17
Full count5.27660.0%20.0%25.0%0.0%59
After hit/walk7.54414.3%28.6%9.5%14.3%6

Jake Bennett arsenal

No arsenal data cached yet.

Drew Rasmussen arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
Cutter26.8%89.3266421.4%21.4%26.7%.296
4-Seam Fastball26.8%96.0250119.1%30.9%9.1%.200
Sinker26.8%95.324224.8%16.7%0.0%.160
Changeup8.9%90.4123544.4%35.7%37.5%.000
Curveball6.4%79.926040.0%20.0%0.0%.000
Sweeper4.5%83.925360.0%42.9%0.0%.000
last 7 days · 209 PA
OPS.616
AVG.225
OBP.251
SLG.365
ISO.140
HR5
K%18.7%
BB%3.4%
Runs20
last 7 days · 221 PA
OPS.645
AVG.238
OBP.313
SLG.332
ISO.093
HR3
K%21.7%
BB%9.5%
Runs19

Boston Red Sox

fatigue 43
last 3 days
Relief IP7.0
Relievers8
Pitches136
Back-to-back1
ERA7.71
WHIP1.86

Tampa Bay Rays

fatigue 90
last 3 days
Relief IP10.0
Relievers7
Pitches158
Back-to-back3
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90