Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
NyxAetherBaseball

Matchup Scorecard — Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays

Jesús Luzardo vs Max Scherzer
Edge: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5LOWPhiladelphia Phillies lineup holds the matchup edge (+0.5). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. Lineups shown as confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Jesús Luzardo vs Toronto Blue Jays lineup

vs Jesús Luzardo · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr.0SweeperChangeupNeutral20%TINY
2Nathan Lukes0Sweeper4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
3Ernie Clement0Sweeper4-Seam FastballPitcher edge20%TINY
4Myles Straw0Sweeper4-Seam FastballNeutral20%TINY
5Daulton Varsho0SweeperSweeperNeutral20%TINY
6Brandon Valenzuela0SweeperChangeupBatter edge20%TINY
7Kazuma Okamoto0Sweeper4-Seam FastballPitcher edge20%TINY
8Andrés Giménez0SweeperSinkerPitcher edge20%TINY
9Charles McAdoo0SweeperNo data20%TINY

Max Scherzer vs Philadelphia Phillies lineup

vs Max Scherzer · lineup: roster_proxy

#BatterPAAVGOPSxwOBAK%Pitcher weaponDanger pitchEdgeConfSample
1Kyle Schwarber0No data20%TINY
2Trea Turner0No data20%TINY
3Bryce Harper0No data20%TINY
4Brandon Marsh0No data20%TINY
5Alec Bohm0No data20%TINY
6Bryson Stott0No data20%TINY
7J.T. Realmuto0No data20%TINY
8Adolis García0No data20%TINY
9Steward Berroa0No data20%TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Jesús Luzardo vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Max Scherzer vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

RelieverBatterPAOPSxwOBAArsenalBatter weak vsRisk
Adam MackoKyle Schwarber1.701SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%SweeperMEDIUM
Brad KellerNathan Lukes22.000.902SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%Split-FingerMEDIUM
Adam MackoBryce Harper1.000.000SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%Knuckle CurveLOW
Adam MackoTrea Turner1.000.055SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%ChangeupLOW
Brad KellerVladimir Guerrero Jr.2.000.000SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%CutterLOW
Brad KellerKazuma Okamoto2.000.027SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%SweeperLOW
José AlvaradoErnie Clement1.000.000SI 60%, FC 38%, CU 1%CurveballLOW
José AlvaradoNathan Lukes1.000.267SI 60%, FC 38%, CU 1%Split-FingerLOW
Adam MackoSteward Berroa0SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%UNKNOWN
Adam MackoAdolis García0SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Adam MackoJ.T. Realmuto0SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%SliderUNKNOWN
Adam MackoBryson Stott0SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%UNKNOWN
Adam MackoAlec Bohm0SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Adam MackoBrandon Marsh0SL 48%, FF 35%, CH 10%SweeperUNKNOWN
Brad KellerCharles McAdoo0SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%UNKNOWN
Brad KellerAndrés Giménez0SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%SweeperUNKNOWN
Brad KellerBrandon Valenzuela0SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%UNKNOWN
Brad KellerDaulton Varsho0SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%CurveballUNKNOWN
Brad KellerMyles Straw0SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%SliderUNKNOWN
Brad KellerErnie Clement0SI 32%, SL 31%, FF 18%CurveballUNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanSteward Berroa0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%UNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanKyle Schwarber0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%SweeperUNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanTrea Turner0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanBryce Harper0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%Knuckle CurveUNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanBrandon Marsh0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%SweeperUNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanAlec Bohm0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%ChangeupUNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanBryson Stott0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%UNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanJ.T. Realmuto0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%SliderUNKNOWN
Jeff HoffmanAdolis García0SL 65%, FF 17%, FS 15%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanVladimir Guerrero Jr.0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%CutterUNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanNathan Lukes0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%Split-FingerUNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanErnie Clement0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%CurveballUNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanMyles Straw0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%SliderUNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanDaulton Varsho0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%CurveballUNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanBrandon Valenzuela0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%UNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanKazuma Okamoto0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%SweeperUNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanAndrés Giménez0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%SweeperUNKNOWN
Jonathan BowlanCharles McAdoo0FF 56%, SI 18%, SL 15%UNKNOWN
José AlvaradoVladimir Guerrero Jr.0SI 60%, FC 38%, CU 1%CutterUNKNOWN
José AlvaradoMyles Straw0SI 60%, FC 38%, CU 1%SliderUNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Brandon Valenzuela vs Jesús Luzardo
73Batter edge
Nathan Lukes vs Jesús Luzardo
57Neutral
Brandon Marsh vs Max Scherzer
51No data

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Jesús Luzardo vs Ernie Clement75
Jesús Luzardo vs Andrés Giménez71
Jesús Luzardo vs Kazuma Okamoto62