Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays
PreMatchup Edge
Toronto Blue Jays holds a 3.7-pt model edge (Toronto Blue Jays 60.7 vs Philadelphia Phillies 57.0). Confidence 88% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.
Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Toronto Blue Jays (home), right value = Philadelphia Phillies (away).
Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.
Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.
Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.
Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.
Analysis edge — not betting advice.
Jesús Luzardo
form 46Max Scherzer
form 50Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)
Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.
Jesús Luzardo · Pressure
Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.
Pressure Score
No clutch-context data cached for this pitcher yet.
Jesús Luzardo · situation splits (30d)
| Situation | PA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | XBH% | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High pressure | 1 | .000 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 87 |
| RISP | 9 | .261 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 75 |
| 2-out RISP | 4 | .404 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 45 |
| Full count | 8 | .508 | 12.5% | 50.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 24 |
| After hit/walk | 19 | .355 | 15.8% | 10.5% | 25.7% | 5.3% | 51 |
Max Scherzer · situation splits (30d)
No split data cached yet.
Jesús Luzardo arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Spin | Whiff% | CSW% | PutAway% | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 35.1% | 86.4 | 2435 | 37.5% | 30.8% | 17.4% | .273 |
| Sinker | 22.2% | 96.2 | 2222 | 4.3% | 24.4% | 0.0% | .361 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 21.6% | 97.2 | 2242 | 11.1% | 25.0% | 0.0% | .445 |
| Changeup | 21.1% | 86.3 | 1660 | 34.8% | 33.3% | 25.0% | .514 |
Max Scherzer arsenal
No arsenal data cached yet.