Final
BOS1–2
Final
TORLine score not available yet.
Postgame Review
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Blue Jays won · Red Sox 1, Blue Jays 2
Pregame edge
Red Sox · missed
Pregame Snapshot
Before first pitch, NYX expected…
Red Sox Hold the Edge
61% to Win
The Red Sox enter tonight with an opponent missing key regulars and the stronger starting-pitching matchup. The Blue Jays hold home-field advantage, but NYX still gives Red Sox the edge on overall matchup quality.
Moderate EdgeConfirmed
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Blue Jays also brings
- •Home field
Prediction updated: 21h ago · Data may be staleNYX Engine v2.2Walk-Forward ValidatedLineups: ConfirmedStarters: Probable
Prediction stale
Why NYX Sees the Edge
- ✓Opponent missing key regulars
- ✓Better starter projection
- ✓Better bullpen quality
What Changed
How the NYX read moved before first pitch.
- Initial Read39%
- Initial Read39%
- Initial Read39%
- Initial Read39%
- Initial Read39%
- Initial Read39%
- Initial Read40%
- Initial Read40%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read43%
- Initial Read46%
- Initial Read46%
- Initial Read46%
- Initial Read46%
- Initial Read46%
- Initial Read46%
Top Offensive Performers
- Red SoxCeddanne Rafaela2-3 · 1 RBI
- Red SoxJarren Duran1-4 · 1 2B
- Blue JaysAndrés Giménez1-4 · 1 RBI
- Blue JaysGeorge Springer1-4
- Blue JaysVladimir Guerrero Jr.1-4
Prediction Review
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
Missed
We said: Boston Red Sox 55%
Result: Toronto Blue Jays won 2–1
NYX favored the Boston Red Sox (55%), but Toronto Blue Jays won 2–1 — their offense didn't hold up. A shocking result — more than 95% of comparable v2.2 finals.
Surpriseshockingmore surprising than 95% of v2.2 finals
Biggest factors
Runs 1–2 · Hits 6–7 · Errors 1–0Offense
backfired0 pp
Defense
backfired