Analysis edge is not betting advice. Scores are based on available public data and may be incomplete.
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Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles

Pre
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Seattle Mariners0
@
Baltimore Orioles0
Top 1
Game data: 31m ago

Matchup Edge

high dataconf 100%
Baltimore Orioles (home)vsSeattle Mariners (away)
Baltimore Orioles edge +11.7

Baltimore Orioles holds a 11.7-pt model edge (Baltimore Orioles 56.0 vs Seattle Mariners 44.3). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only — not betting advice.

Each score is 0–100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Baltimore Orioles (home), right value = Seattle Mariners (away).

55Starter45

Probable starter's recent form & expected runs — model weight 25%.

47Batting63

Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) — model weight 25%.

41Bullpen1

Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) — model weight 20%.

56Total44

Weighted blend — starter 25 · pressure 15 · batting 25 · bullpen 20 · home 5 · data 10.

No flags

Analysis edge — not betting advice.

George Kirby

form 45
last 15 days · 176 pitches
Velo91.9
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2291
Whiff%21.3%
CSW%29.0%
xwOBA.407
K%20.0%
BB%4.4%
HardHit%23.1%
No flags

Brandon Young

form 55
last 15 days · 171 pitches
Velo86.9
Velo Δ0.0
Spin2052
Whiff%19.4%
CSW%28.1%
xwOBA.324
K%20.8%
BB%1.9%
HardHit%25.7%
No flags

Stress Situation Performance (Pressure Score)

Pressure Score is a baseball analytics metric derived from public play-by-play and pitch-level data. It does not measure a player's actual mental health or psychology.

George Kirby · Pressure

53MEDIUM
last 15d · 43 pressure PA · conf 75%
High-Press PA3
RISP xwOBA.310
Late&Close PA0
K%20.9%
BB%4.7%
Whiff%22.4%
Shutdown/Melt1/2
Strike%67.8%
CSW%29.2%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

Brandon Young · Pressure

59GOOD
last 15d · 53 pressure PA · conf 100%
High-Press PA4
RISP xwOBA.351
Late&Close PA4
K%20.8%
BB%1.9%
Whiff%19.4%
Shutdown/Melt3/1
Strike%71.9%
CSW%28.1%
No flags

Proxy pressure index — analytics only, not a psychological measure.

George Kirby · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure3.3890.0%33.3%0.0%0.0%18
RISP15.26826.7%6.7%27.3%13.3%60
2-out RISP7.22128.6%14.3%37.5%14.3%63
Bases loaded1.3910.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%25
Full count7.35328.6%28.6%16.7%14.3%27
After hit/walk16.30918.8%0.0%13.3%12.5%49

Brandon Young · situation splits (30d)

SituationPAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%XBH%Score
High pressure4.3070.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%64
RISP4.3820.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%39
2-out RISP2.8000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%45
Late & close4.3070.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%64
Full count1.0830.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%70
After hit/walk16.32712.5%0.0%10.3%0.0%63

George Kirby arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball36.4%96.4225627.0%29.7%20.0%.380
Sweeper29.5%87.6236722.6%25.0%11.1%.397
Sinker15.9%96.923350.0%32.1%0.0%.150
Knuckle Curve13.1%84.0236120.0%39.1%20.0%.581
Changeup4.0%89.016090.0%0.0%—.450
Cutter1.1%94.524240.0%50.0%—.900

Brandon Young arsenal

PitchUsageVeloSpinWhiff%CSW%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam Fastball31.0%94.5225817.2%30.2%7.1%.192
Split-Finger21.1%83.213159.1%5.6%0.0%.192
Curveball18.1%75.1268822.2%48.4%0.0%.610
Slider17.0%84.6203036.8%27.6%35.3%.397
Sinker12.9%93.9189214.3%31.8%0.0%.436

Seattle Mariners

form 63
last 7 days · 274 PA
OPS.759
AVG.278
OBP.327
SLG.431
ISO.153
HR9
K%19.7%
BB%6.6%
Runs32

Baltimore Orioles

form 47
last 7 days · 282 PA
OPS.718
AVG.243
OBP.318
SLG.401
ISO.158
HR8
K%21.3%
BB%9.6%
Runs38

Seattle Mariners

fatigue 98
last 3 days
Relief IP11.0
Relievers8
Pitches228
Back-to-back3
ERA6.55
WHIP1.91

Baltimore Orioles

fatigue 62
last 3 days
Relief IP11.0
Relievers8
Pitches177
Back-to-back0
ERA4.91
WHIP1.27