Nyx Aether Baseball

Matchup Scorecard — Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox

Jack Leiter vs Sonny Gray

Final · Started --· game day 2026-06-12

Edge: Boston Red Sox +0.6LOWBoston Red Sox lineup holds the matchup edge (+0.64). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.

Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.

Nyx Analysis

•The Texas Rangers are favored on a deeper lineup and a stronger bullpen.

▸Supporting data

matchup.edge: team=Texas Rangers · reasons=bat,bp · edge=12

Jack Leiter vs Boston Red Sox lineup

vs Jack Leiter · lineup: roster_proxy

#	Batter	AVG	OPS	xwOBA	K%	Pitcher weapon	Danger pitch	Edge	Conf	Sample
1	Jarren Duran	—	—	—	—	Curveball	Sinker	Neutral	20%	TINY
2	Ceddanne Rafaela	—	—	—	—	Curveball	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
3	Wilyer Abreu	—	—	—	—	Curveball	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
4	Willson Contreras	—	—	—	—	Curveball	Slider	Neutral	20%	TINY
5	Mickey Gasper	—	—	—	—	Curveball	4-Seam Fastball	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
6	Nate Eaton	—	—	—	—	Curveball	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
7	Caleb Durbin	—	—	—	—	Curveball	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
8	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	—	—	—	—	Curveball	Slider	Neutral	20%	TINY
9	Andruw Monasterio	—	—	—	—	Curveball	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY

Sonny Gray vs Texas Rangers lineup

vs Sonny Gray · lineup: roster_proxy

#	Batter	AVG	OPS	xwOBA	K%	Pitcher weapon	Danger pitch	Edge	Conf	Sample
1	Wyatt Langford	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
2	Corey Seager	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Changeup	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
3	Josh Jung	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Cutter	Neutral	20%	TINY
4	Brandon Nimmo	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Cutter	Batter edge	20%	TINY
5	Ezequiel Duran	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Sweeper	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
6	Jake Burger	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Cutter	Neutral	20%	TINY
7	Evan Carter	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	—	Low sample	20%	TINY
8	Elias Díaz	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Changeup	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY
9	Nicky Lopez	—	—	—	—	Sweeper	Sinker	Pitcher edge	20%	TINY

Pitch-type breakdown

Jack Leiter vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Sonny Gray vs

No pitch-type history for this pairing.

Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)

Reliever	Batter	OPS	xwOBA	Arsenal	Batter weak vs	Risk
Cole Winn	Andruw Monasterio	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Cole Winn	Jarren Duran	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	Split-Finger	UNKNOWN
Cole Winn	Ceddanne Rafaela	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Cole Winn	Wilyer Abreu	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Cole Winn	Willson Contreras	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Cole Winn	Mickey Gasper	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Cole Winn	Nate Eaton	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	—	UNKNOWN
Cole Winn	Caleb Durbin	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	—	UNKNOWN
Cole Winn	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	—	—	FF 32%, FC 30%, SL 22%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Elias Díaz	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	Changeup	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Wyatt Langford	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	—	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Corey Seager	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	4-Seam Fastball	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Josh Jung	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Brandon Nimmo	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	Slurve	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Ezequiel Duran	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Jake Burger	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	Slurve	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Evan Carter	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	—	UNKNOWN
Greg Weissert	Nicky Lopez	—	—	SI 36%, FF 28%, ST 18%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Caleb Durbin	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	—	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Andruw Monasterio	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Nate Eaton	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	—	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Mickey Gasper	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Willson Contreras	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Wilyer Abreu	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Ceddanne Rafaela	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Jakob Junis	Jarren Duran	—	—	SL 43%, CH 21%, SI 20%	Split-Finger	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Nicky Lopez	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	Sweeper	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Evan Carter	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	—	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Wyatt Langford	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	—	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Corey Seager	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	4-Seam Fastball	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Josh Jung	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Brandon Nimmo	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	Slurve	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Ezequiel Duran	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Jake Burger	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	Slurve	UNKNOWN
Justin Slaten	Elias Díaz	—	—	FC 51%, FF 32%, ST 12%	Changeup	UNKNOWN
Peyton Gray	Jarren Duran	—	—	CH 46%, FF 38%, SL 15%	Split-Finger	UNKNOWN
Peyton Gray	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	—	—	CH 46%, FF 38%, SL 15%	Curveball	UNKNOWN
Peyton Gray	Caleb Durbin	—	—	CH 46%, FF 38%, SL 15%	—	UNKNOWN
Peyton Gray	Nate Eaton	—	—	CH 46%, FF 38%, SL 15%	—	UNKNOWN

Top 3 hitter advantages

Brandon Nimmo vs Sonny Gray

61Batter edge

Josh Jung vs Sonny Gray

53Neutral

Willson Contreras vs Jack Leiter

51Neutral

Top 3 pitcher advantages

Sonny Gray vs Elias Díaz82

Sonny Gray vs Corey Seager81

Jack Leiter vs Wilyer Abreu73