Final
Line score not available yet.
Trend begins at first pitch.
Model-based game control score derived from live play-by-play. Not betting odds.
What changed after first pitch.
Result
Red Sox won Β· Rangers 3, Red Sox 6
Pregame edge
Red Sox Β· held up
Before first pitch, NYX expectedβ¦
NYX Win Edge
Red Sox 58% to Win
Updated after confirmed lineups. Model-based estimate, not betting odds.
Rangers also brings
Home Advantage
Red Sox carries the model's edge into this matchup. Rangers counters with a capable starter, but Red Sox holds the stronger overall profile.
Key Drivers
Risk Factors
What Could Flip It
Health & Availability
Away starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Home starter
Season stats unavailable
Arsenal unavailable
Source: MLB schedule
Boston Red Sox holds a 1.0-pt model edge (Boston Red Sox 61.1 vs Texas Rangers 60.1). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only β not betting advice.
Each score is 0β100, higher = stronger side. Left value / bar = Boston Red Sox (home), right value = Texas Rangers (away).
Probable starter's recent form & expected runs β model weight 25%.
Lineup run production (OPS / xwOBA basis) β model weight 25%.
Boston Red Sox holds a 1.0-pt model edge (Boston Red Sox 61.1 vs Texas Rangers 60.1). Confidence 100% (high data). Analysis edge only β not betting advice.
Last 10 Meetings
Red Sox lead 2β1Oldest β most recent Β· completed MLB games
Relief corps: recent fatigue (50%), ERA (30%), WHIP (20%) β model weight 20%.
Weighted blend β starter 25 Β· pressure 15 Β· batting 25 Β· bullpen 20 Β· home 5 Β· data 10.
Analysis edge β not betting advice.