Matchup Scorecard β Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
Away starter
Tarik SkubalConfirmed
Home starter
Joey CantilloConfirmed
Starts --Β· game day 2026-06-13
Edge: Detroit Tigers +0.3LOWDetroit Tigers lineup holds the matchup edge (+0.3). Based on pitch-type fit + limited 1:1 history.
Small historical sample: pitch-type profile and recent form are weighted more heavily. confirmed_lineup / probable_lineup / roster_proxy.
Nyx Analysis
- β’The Detroit Tigers are favored on a deeper lineup.
- β’Limited sample size β confidence is capped.
βΈSupporting data
matchup.edge: team=Detroit Tigers Β· reasons=bat Β· edge=8
matchup.lowSample: β
Tarik Skubal vs Cleveland Guardians lineup
vs Tarik Skubal Β· lineup: roster_proxy
| # | Batter | PA | AVG | OPS | xwOBA | K% | Pitcher weapon | Danger pitch | Edge | Conf | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Travis Bazzana | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 2 | JosΓ© RamΓrez | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 3 | Chase DeLauter | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 4 | Kyle Manzardo | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 5 | Rhys Hoskins | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 6 | Angel MartΓnez | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 7 | Steven Kwan | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 8 | Patrick Bailey | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 9 | Brayan Rocchio | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
Joey Cantillo vs Detroit Tigers lineup
vs Joey Cantillo Β· lineup: roster_proxy
| # | Batter | PA | AVG | OPS | xwOBA | K% | Pitcher weapon | Danger pitch | Edge | Conf | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin McGonigle | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 2 | Gleyber Torres | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | Cutter | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 3 | Riley Greene | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 4 | Dillon Dingler | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 5 | Kerry Carpenter | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 6 | Colt Keith | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 7 | Spencer Torkelson | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
| 8 | Zach McKinstry | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | Curveball | Pitcher edge | 20% | TINY |
| 9 | James Outman | 0 | β | β | β | β | Changeup | β | Low sample | 20% | TINY |
Pitch-type breakdown
Tarik Skubal vs
No pitch-type history for this pairing.
Joey Cantillo vs
No pitch-type history for this pairing.
Bullpen vs lineup (highest risk first)
| Reliever | Batter | PA | OPS | xwOBA | Arsenal | Batter weak vs | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Anderson | Angel MartΓnez | 3 | 1.000 | .341 | FF 40%, CH 32%, CU 22% | β | HIGH |
| Drew Anderson | Steven Kwan | 3 | 1.333 | .618 | FF 40%, CH 32%, CU 22% | β | HIGH |
| Hunter Gaddis | Zach McKinstry | 3 | .667 | .445 | SL 51%, FF 28%, CH 19% | Knuckle Curve | HIGH |
| Cade Smith | Kevin McGonigle | 1 | 2.000 | .641 | FF 62%, FS 24%, ST 14% | β | MEDIUM |
| Cade Smith | Zach McKinstry | 1 | 2.000 | .541 | FF 62%, FS 24%, ST 14% | Knuckle Curve | MEDIUM |
| Colin Holderman | Riley Greene | 1 | 2.000 | .596 | SI 50%, ST 35%, CU 9% | β | MEDIUM |
| Drew Anderson | Chase DeLauter | 2 | 1.000 | .134 | FF 40%, CH 32%, CU 22% | β | MEDIUM |
| Drew Sommers | Chase DeLauter | 1 | 2.000 | .906 | SI 44%, FF 27%, SL 27% | β | MEDIUM |
| Matt Festa | Spencer Torkelson | 1 | 2.000 | .840 | ST 44%, FF 40%, FC 9% | β | MEDIUM |
| Matt Festa | Colt Keith | 1 | .000 | .829 | ST 44%, FF 40%, FC 9% | β | MEDIUM |
| Tim Herrin | Dillon Dingler | 2 | 2.500 | .344 | CU 30%, SL 29%, SI 21% | β | MEDIUM |
| Ty Madden | Chase DeLauter | 1 | 3.000 | .630 | FF 33%, SL 20%, FC 17% | β | MEDIUM |
| Cade Smith | Spencer Torkelson | 1 | .000 | .014 | FF 62%, FS 24%, ST 14% | β | LOW |
| Cade Smith | Gleyber Torres | 1 | .000 | .237 | FF 62%, FS 24%, ST 14% | Sweeper | LOW |
| Cade Smith | Riley Greene | 1 | .000 | .000 | FF 62%, FS 24%, ST 14% | β | LOW |
| Cade Smith | Dillon Dingler | 2 | .000 | .059 | FF 62%, FS 24%, ST 14% | β | LOW |
| Cade Smith | Colt Keith | 1 | .000 | .007 | FF 62%, FS 24%, ST 14% | β | LOW |
| Colin Holderman | Spencer Torkelson | 1 | .000 | .000 | SI 50%, ST 35%, CU 9% | β | LOW |
| Colin Holderman | Dillon Dingler | 1 | .000 | .161 | SI 50%, ST 35%, CU 9% | β | LOW |
| Drew Anderson | Travis Bazzana | 1 | .000 | .012 | FF 40%, CH 32%, CU 22% | β | LOW |
| Drew Anderson | JosΓ© RamΓrez | 2 | .000 | .000 | FF 40%, CH 32%, CU 22% | Knuckle Curve | LOW |
| Drew Anderson | Rhys Hoskins | 3 | .000 | .054 | FF 40%, CH 32%, CU 22% | Split-Finger | LOW |
| Drew Anderson | Patrick Bailey | 3 | .667 | .135 | FF 40%, CH 32%, CU 22% | β | LOW |
| Drew Anderson | Brayan Rocchio | 3 | .333 | .234 | FF 40%, CH 32%, CU 22% | β | LOW |
| Drew Sommers | Travis Bazzana | 1 | .000 | .000 | SI 44%, FF 27%, SL 27% | β | LOW |
| Drew Sommers | JosΓ© RamΓrez | 1 | .000 | .298 | SI 44%, FF 27%, SL 27% | Knuckle Curve | LOW |
| Drew Sommers | Kyle Manzardo | 1 | .000 | .000 | SI 44%, FF 27%, SL 27% | β | LOW |
| Hunter Gaddis | James Outman | 1 | .000 | .012 | SL 51%, FF 28%, CH 19% | β | LOW |
| Hunter Gaddis | Kevin McGonigle | 1 | .000 | β | SL 51%, FF 28%, CH 19% | β | LOW |
| Hunter Gaddis | Colt Keith | 2 | .000 | .172 | SL 51%, FF 28%, CH 19% | β | LOW |
| Tim Herrin | Kevin McGonigle | 1 | .000 | .088 | CU 30%, SL 29%, SI 21% | β | LOW |
| Tim Herrin | Riley Greene | 2 | .500 | .366 | CU 30%, SL 29%, SI 21% | β | LOW |
| Ty Madden | JosΓ© RamΓrez | 1 | .000 | .070 | FF 33%, SL 20%, FC 17% | Knuckle Curve | LOW |
| Ty Madden | Kyle Manzardo | 1 | .000 | .098 | FF 33%, SL 20%, FC 17% | β | LOW |
| Ty Madden | Rhys Hoskins | 1 | .000 | .051 | FF 33%, SL 20%, FC 17% | Split-Finger | LOW |
| Ty Madden | Angel MartΓnez | 1 | .000 | .000 | FF 33%, SL 20%, FC 17% | β | LOW |
| Ty Madden | Steven Kwan | 1 | .000 | .000 | FF 33%, SL 20%, FC 17% | β | LOW |
| Ty Madden | Patrick Bailey | 1 | .000 | .000 | FF 33%, SL 20%, FC 17% | β | LOW |
| Beau Brieske | Travis Bazzana | 0 | β | β | FF 56%, SL 21%, CH 12% | β | UNKNOWN |
| Beau Brieske | Brayan Rocchio | 0 | β | β | FF 56%, SL 21%, CH 12% | β | UNKNOWN |
Top 3 hitter advantages
JosΓ© RamΓrez vs Tarik Skubal
47Low sample
Kevin McGonigle vs Joey Cantillo
46Low sample
Riley Greene vs Joey Cantillo
46Low sample
Top 3 pitcher advantages
Joey Cantillo vs Zach McKinstry71
Joey Cantillo vs Gleyber Torres65
Tarik Skubal vs Rhys Hoskins63